← Smart money
0x852a…3188
SharpEdge
+10.3pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
59% @ 48.9¢
Brier
0.201
Resolved
4022
Avg size
$31
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 58% (651/1127) | +17% | 1127 |
| Politics | 51% (133/259) | +43% | 259 |
| Tech | 43% (6/14) | +21% | 14 |
| Crypto | 50% (2/4) | -14% | 4 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +17% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +33% | 2 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | +3% | 2 |
- Other1127 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (651/1127)
- ROI
- +17%
- Politics259 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (133/259)
- ROI
- +43%
- Tech14 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (6/14)
- ROI
- +21%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -14%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +17%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +33%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +3%
Track record
56% hit · 796/1410- No$4 @ 6.9¢
- No$13 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 67.8¢
- Yes$245 @ 70.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 57.1¢
- No$20 @ 30.0¢
- No$3 @ 25.0¢
- No$25 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 0.4¢
- No$43 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 27.1¢
- No$30 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 29.0¢
- No$48 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$173 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$141 @ 55.6¢
- No$62 @ 62.0¢
- No$75 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$73 @ 85.0¢
- No$125 @ 83.7¢
- Yes$103 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 42.8¢
- No$96 @ 32.0¢
- Will Trump say "Our First Lady" or "Our Great First Lady" at the Congressional Ball on December 11?LostNo$5 @ 45.0¢
- No$100 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 72.0¢
- Will Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?WonYes$37 @ 50.0¢
- No$75 @ 83.0¢
- No$19 @ 39.3¢
- No$4 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$129 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 10.0¢
- No$43 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 62.9¢
- Yes$23 @ 41.0¢
- No$10 @ 10.0¢
- No$21 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- No$6 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$122 @ 87.0¢
- No$35 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
- No$48 @ 80.0¢
- No$97 @ 81.2¢
- Yes$75 @ 43.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$4.4k @ 91.2¢
- No$4.4k @ 79.1¢
- Viktor Orbán arrested by...?PoliticsNo$1.6k @ 74.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 52.8¢
- No$634 @ 84.5¢
- No$595 @ 85.0¢
- No$427 @ 73.4¢
- Yes$321 @ 71.3¢
- No$319 @ 70.2¢
- No$312 @ 78.0¢
- No$294 @ 92.9¢
- No$270 @ 92.9¢
- Yes$264 @ 70.1¢
- No$248 @ 62.0¢
- No$216 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$208 @ 83.0¢
- No$160 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$94 @ 14.1¢
- No$81 @ 81.0¢
- No$77 @ 96.8¢
- Yes$41 @ 82.0¢
- Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?PoliticsYes$35 @ 34.0¢
- No$31 @ 12.7¢
- Yes$26 @ 5.0¢
- No$23 @ 38.5¢
- No$21 @ 52.5¢
- No$20 @ 46.3¢
- No$17 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 16.4¢