← Smart money
0x82a4…cdb7
SharpEdge
+10.9pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
65% @ 54.2¢
Brier
0.144
Resolved
258
Avg size
$205
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (43/90) | +34% | 90 |
| Politics | 78% (7/9) | -1% | 9 |
- Other90 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (43/90)
- ROI
- +34%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- -1%
Track record
51% hit · 50/99- Yes$179 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$142 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$103 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$102 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 20.8¢
- Yes$165 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$68 @ 45.3¢
- Yes$472 @ 59.0¢
- No$3.6k @ 78.6¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 16.9¢
- Yes$42 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 51.0¢
- No$154 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
- Trump$59 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
- No$9 @ 68.7¢
- No$50 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 76.6¢
- Yes$80 @ 14.9¢
- Colombia$231 @ 62.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
- No$2 @ 75.0¢
- No$690 @ 75.9¢
- Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
- No$79 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 14.5¢
- No$180 @ 45.9¢
- No$36 @ 65.0¢
- No$125 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 62.0¢
- Yes$114 @ 22.5¢
- Trump$43 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$152 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
- No$197 @ 83.9¢
- England$28 @ 55.0¢
- No$216 @ 67.1¢
- No$17 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$63 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$36 @ 45.5¢
- No$20 @ 40.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | Politics | Yes | $53 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Politics | Yes | $31 | 61.0¢ |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | Politics | Yes | $11 | 37.0¢ |
- Yes$53 @ 75.0¢
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?PoliticsYes$31 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 37.0¢