0x825b…42cd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x825be0506fabb401279f5d1b6c5ce7f5189c42cd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.0pp

ROI

+163%

Win rate

29% @ 9.6¢

Brier

0.194

Resolved

119

Avg size

$25

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	15% (3/20)	+189%	20
Crypto	86% (6/7)	+291%	7
Politics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other20 bets
Hit rate
15% (3/20)
ROI
+189%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+291%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

28% hit · 9/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$186	1.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on September 21?	Yes	$160	35.2¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 8?	Yes	$6	2.4¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	Yes	$21	1.8¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 8?	Yes	$4	3.2¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	$10	2.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	$15	13.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?	Yes	$75	3.1¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$161	0.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?	Yes	$110	18.0¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$38	1.4¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$171	6.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	$39	2.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 18?	Yes	$4	14.5¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?	Yes	$525	23.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	Yes	$30	2.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	$144	5.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	Yes	$155	19.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19?	Yes	$17	5.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 19?	Yes	$44	5.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 18?	Yes	$11	4.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6	12.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 9?	Yes	$10	4.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	$109	50.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Yes	$145	25.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?	Yes	$28	2.4¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?	Yes	$165	13.5¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.60 September 14-20?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	Yes	$377	28.2¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?	Yes	$13	1.2¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.80 September 14-20?	Yes	$61	4.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	Yes	$90	14.9¢	Won

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$186 @ 1.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on September 21?Won
Yes$160 @ 35.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 8?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.8¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 8?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.2¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Won
Yes$15 @ 13.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?Won
Yes$75 @ 3.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$161 @ 0.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?Won
Yes$110 @ 18.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$38 @ 1.4¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$171 @ 6.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Lost
Yes$39 @ 2.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 18?Lost
Yes$4 @ 14.5¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?Won
Yes$525 @ 23.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Lost
Yes$144 @ 5.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?Won
Yes$155 @ 19.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 19?Lost
Yes$17 @ 5.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 19?Lost
Yes$44 @ 5.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 18?Lost
Yes$11 @ 4.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 9?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?Won
Yes$109 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Won
Yes$145 @ 25.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?Lost
Yes$28 @ 2.4¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?Lost
Yes$165 @ 13.5¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 September 14-20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?Lost
Yes$377 @ 28.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?Lost
Yes$13 @ 1.2¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 September 14-20?Lost
Yes$61 @ 4.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Won
Yes$90 @ 14.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will XRP reach $1.70 September 21-27?	Crypto	Yes	$896	56.6¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$703	7.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?	Crypto	Yes	$497	15.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$409	12.4¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$297	11.6¢
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$63	3.8¢

Will XRP reach $1.70 September 21-27?Crypto
Yes$896 @ 56.6¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2026?Crypto
Yes$703 @ 7.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?Crypto
Yes$497 @ 15.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$409 @ 12.4¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?Crypto
Yes$297 @ 11.6¢
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$63 @ 3.8¢