0x7f6d…f6f6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7f6d3eb889c36ce8c70ba2606c642ab2d4ebf6f6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.6pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

62% @ 48.9¢

Brier

0.203

Resolved

273

Avg size

$29

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (34/68)	+18%	68
Politics	60% (21/35)	+40%	35
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-85%	3
Sports	50% (1/2)	+176%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other68 bets
Hit rate
50% (34/68)
ROI
+18%
Politics35 bets
Hit rate
60% (21/35)
ROI
+40%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-85%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+176%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

52% hit · 57/109

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$326	52.9¢	Won
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$80	45.5¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?	Yes	$16	77.0¢	Won
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	No	$4	42.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$60	75.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$77	60.0¢	Lost
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	$4	15.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$117	78.3¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$32	9.2¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	No	$100	76.4¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$50	62.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	31.8¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$48	79.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	$118	71.1¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$31	19.9¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	Yes	$122	70.8¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$3	63.0¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	$11	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$106	77.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$40	24.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$60	75.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$218	36.2¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$361	39.2¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$32	38.9¢	Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	$60	69.6¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	Yes	$39	28.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$26	84.7¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$95	30.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$101	64.6¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$50	14.4¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$207	78.1¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$273	38.1¢	Won
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$15	68.2¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$25	8.7¢	Lost
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	26.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$50	12.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$341	42.7¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$34	48.7¢	Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$171	78.0¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$81	10.9¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	$145	52.4¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$100	70.6¢	Won
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	$25	59.9¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$92	54.5¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$257	17.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$30	45.2¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	No	$28	58.4¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	Yes	$61	29.6¢	Lost

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$326 @ 52.9¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$80 @ 45.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Won
Yes$16 @ 77.0¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 42.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$60 @ 75.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$77 @ 60.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 15.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$117 @ 78.3¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
No$32 @ 9.2¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
No$100 @ 76.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 62.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 31.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
No$48 @ 79.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Won
No$118 @ 71.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$31 @ 19.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Won
Yes$122 @ 70.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$3 @ 63.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
No$11 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$106 @ 77.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$40 @ 24.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$218 @ 36.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Won
Yes$361 @ 39.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$32 @ 38.9¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Won
No$60 @ 69.6¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Lost
Yes$39 @ 28.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
No$26 @ 84.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$95 @ 30.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
No$101 @ 64.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Lost
Yes$50 @ 14.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$207 @ 78.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$273 @ 38.1¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 68.2¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 8.7¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 12.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$341 @ 42.7¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Lost
No$34 @ 48.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$171 @ 78.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$81 @ 10.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Lost
No$145 @ 52.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Won
Yes$100 @ 70.6¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$25 @ 59.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Won
Yes$92 @ 54.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$257 @ 17.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$30 @ 45.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Won
No$28 @ 58.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$61 @ 29.6¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…