0x7eaf…34d1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7eaf6f08f5bbaec2738aef03b99cd1adf10134d1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+15.0pp

ROI

+45%

Win rate

66% @ 50.7¢

Brier

0.241

Resolved

140

Avg size

$31

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (31/54)	-13%	54
Sports	69% (11/16)	+138%	16
Politics	46% (6/13)	-19%	13
Science	67% (2/3)	+27%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+49%	1

Other54 bets
Hit rate
57% (31/54)
ROI
-13%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
69% (11/16)
ROI
+138%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
ROI
-19%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+27%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+49%

Track record

58% hit · 51/88

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$332	83.0¢	Won
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$486	81.9¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$247	82.3¢	Lost
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	$160	80.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	$7	88.0¢	Won
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	$5	38.3¢	Won
Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	No	$80	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?	No	$2	72.0¢	Won
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?	No	$3	50.0¢	Won
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	$4	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?	No	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	$18	15.0¢	Won
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	$22	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on May 20?	No	$2	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	$47	22.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?	No	$4	68.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?	No	$8	84.0¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	$210	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 20?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	$155	71.1¢	Won
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	$26	62.4¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$54	2.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20?	No	$17	73.0¢	Lost
Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	No	$5	47.0¢	Won
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	$403	83.4¢	Won
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	No	$112	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 20?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?	No	$2	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 1?	No	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 20?	No	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	$162	81.0¢	Won
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$166	83.0¢	Won
Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2?	No	$1	54.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?	No	$2	8.6¢	Lost
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	No	$123	11.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?	No	$5	80.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$309	12.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?	No	$1	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 20?	No	$2	48.0¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$268	67.0¢	Won
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	No	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$40	39.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$324	81.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$293	73.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 20?	No	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 22?	No	$3	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	No	$7	65.0¢	Won
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	$125	57.0¢	Lost
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	$5	23.0¢	Lost

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$332 @ 83.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$486 @ 81.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$247 @ 82.3¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$160 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?Won
No$7 @ 88.0¢
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 38.3¢
Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Won
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?Won
No$2 @ 72.0¢
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?Won
No$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Lost
No$4 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?Lost
No$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionWon
No$18 @ 15.0¢
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Lost
Yes$22 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on May 20?Lost
No$2 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Won
No$47 @ 22.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?Won
No$4 @ 68.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?Lost
No$8 @ 84.0¢
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Won
Yes$210 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 20?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Won
No$155 @ 71.1¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Lost
Yes$26 @ 62.4¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$54 @ 2.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20?Lost
No$17 @ 73.0¢
Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?Lost
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?Won
No$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?Won
No$403 @ 83.4¢
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Won
No$112 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 20?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?Lost
No$2 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 1?Lost
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 20?Lost
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Rodri join Barcelona?Won
Yes$162 @ 81.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Won
Yes$166 @ 83.0¢
Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2?Won
No$1 @ 54.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?Lost
No$2 @ 8.6¢
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Lost
No$123 @ 11.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?Won
No$5 @ 80.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$309 @ 12.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?Won
No$1 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 20?Lost
No$2 @ 48.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$268 @ 67.0¢
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Lost
No$35 @ 35.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$40 @ 39.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$324 @ 81.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$293 @ 73.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 20?Lost
No$1 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 22?Won
No$3 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?Won
No$7 @ 65.0¢
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Lost
Yes$125 @ 57.0¢
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Lost
No$5 @ 23.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$720	80.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$213	71.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$164	82.0¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$110	11.0¢

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$720 @ 80.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?Tech
Yes$213 @ 71.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
No$164 @ 82.0¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢