0x7e30…e8f5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7e30e0d7e58061953247e08293fe08d5fe02e8f5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.2pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

56% @ 44.9¢

Brier

0.142

Resolved

107

Avg size

$130

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	79% (11/14)	+40%	14
Politics	43% (3/7)	+11%	7

Other14 bets
Hit rate
79% (11/14)
ROI
+40%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+11%

Track record

67% hit · 14/21

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?	Yes	$638	90.0¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?	Yes	$121	5.4¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$2.1k	55.7¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$25	63.0¢	Won
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	Yes	$39	21.9¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$1.1k	57.7¢	Lost
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 26, 2026?	Yes	$135	3.3¢	Lost
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	$1.3k	87.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)	No	$546	85.5¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	$1.2k	70.8¢	Won
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	$153	74.0¢	Won
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?	No	$650	89.0¢	Won
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	Yes	$456	25.7¢	Won
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?	No	$1.2k	35.3¢	Lost
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?	Yes	$712	77.3¢	Won
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	$66	3.5¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	$1.8k	56.7¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	Yes	$837	48.8¢	Lost
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	$97	85.3¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	Yes	$47	31.1¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$728	35.9¢	Lost

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?Won
Yes$638 @ 90.0¢
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Won
Yes$121 @ 5.4¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$2.1k @ 55.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$25 @ 63.0¢
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Won
Yes$39 @ 21.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$1.1k @ 57.7¢
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$135 @ 3.3¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 87.1¢
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)Won
No$546 @ 85.5¢
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 70.8¢
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?Won
Yes$153 @ 74.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?Won
No$650 @ 89.0¢
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Won
Yes$456 @ 25.7¢
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Lost
No$1.2k @ 35.3¢
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Won
Yes$712 @ 77.3¢
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Lost
No$66 @ 3.5¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Won
No$1.8k @ 56.7¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Lost
Yes$837 @ 48.8¢
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?Won
No$97 @ 85.3¢
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?Lost
Yes$47 @ 31.1¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Lost
Yes$728 @ 35.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$13.2k	95.4¢

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$13.2k @ 95.4¢