← Smart money
0x7d58…462d
SharpEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
42% @ 37.9¢
Brier
0.201
Resolved
1031
Avg size
$23
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 41% (65/158) | +20% | 158 |
| Politics | 44% (66/149) | +3% | 149 |
| Sports | 43% (20/47) | +2% | 47 |
| Tech | 39% (7/18) | -7% | 18 |
| Crypto | 40% (6/15) | -24% | 15 |
| Geopolitics | 36% (5/14) | +13% | 14 |
| Economy | 25% (2/8) | -66% | 8 |
| Culture | 33% (1/3) | +27% | 3 |
| Science | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Business | 50% (1/2) | +11% | 2 |
- Other158 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (65/158)
- ROI
- +20%
- Politics149 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (66/149)
- ROI
- +3%
- Sports47 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (20/47)
- ROI
- +2%
- Tech18 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (7/18)
- ROI
- -7%
- Crypto15 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (6/15)
- ROI
- -24%
- Geopolitics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (5/14)
- ROI
- +13%
- Economy8 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (2/8)
- ROI
- -66%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +27%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +11%
Track record
42% hit · 173/416- Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
- No$3 @ 13.0¢
- No$21 @ 42.9¢
- No$8 @ 37.0¢
- No$36 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 73.0¢
- No$36 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 30.0¢
- No$16 @ 27.0¢
- No$12 @ 13.0¢
- No$34 @ 68.0¢
- No$50 @ 31.3¢
- Yes$48 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 85.0¢
- No$16 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 20.0¢
- No$62 @ 62.0¢
- No$25 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 67.0¢
- No$10 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
- No$37 @ 62.0¢
- No$53 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 59.0¢
- No$44 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$14 @ 13.5¢
- No$174 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
- No$166 @ 86.6¢
- Yes$49 @ 9.3¢
- No$89 @ 88.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 4.0¢
- No$14 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 22.7¢
- No$12 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 32.6¢
- No$40 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
- No$375 @ 62.2¢
- Yes$54 @ 27.0¢
- No$1 @ 2.3¢
- No$1 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$42 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 42.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$100 @ 87.1¢
- No$93 @ 93.0¢
- No$93 @ 93.0¢
- No$85 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 90.0¢
- No$69 @ 80.0¢
- No$69 @ 71.0¢
- No$60 @ 85.0¢
- No$53 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 33.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 14.2¢
- No$22 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 10.5¢
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$14 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.5¢
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?GeopoliticsYes$6 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.1¢