0x7a64…8c1b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7a6424a61eb8fe17b8d9494c5af51958ef958c1b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+22.7pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

69% @ 46.1¢

Brier

0.222

Resolved

311

Avg size

$62

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (13/22)	+9%	22
Sports	67% (2/3)	-45%	3
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other22 bets
Hit rate
59% (13/22)
ROI
+9%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-45%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

56% hit · 15/27

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	$11	53.4¢	Won
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	$893	59.5¢	Won
Wizards vs. 76ers	Wizards	$287	14.5¢	Lost
Heat vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	$1.5k	37.5¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$14	67.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$386	19.5¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$12	58.2¢	Won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)	Cavaliers	$341	49.0¢	Won
Bucks vs. Knicks	Knicks	$320	80.0¢	Won
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	$12	60.0¢	Lost
Hawks vs. Pistons	Hawks	$445	22.5¢	Lost
Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	$801	89.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	$49	69.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Jazz	Jazz	$638	16.0¢	Lost
Bulls vs. Hornets	Bulls	$2.8k	56.0¢	Lost
Bucks vs. Wizards	Wizards	$406	20.5¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$43	86.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	$1.0k	47.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	$22	11.0¢	Lost
Suns vs. Kings	Suns	$1.3k	87.3¢	Won
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?	No	$15	29.0¢	Lost
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	$17	87.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$36	36.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Pacers	Pacers	$683	34.5¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Magic	Magic	$2.0k	78.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	$960	32.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Lakers	Lakers	$4.4k	81.4¢	Won

Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Won
Yes$11 @ 53.4¢
Cavaliers vs. HawksWon
Hawks$893 @ 59.5¢
Wizards vs. 76ersLost
Wizards$287 @ 14.5¢
Heat vs. MavericksWon
Mavericks$1.5k @ 37.5¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$14 @ 67.0¢
Timberwolves vs. PelicansLost
Pelicans$386 @ 19.5¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$12 @ 58.2¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Won
Cavaliers$341 @ 49.0¢
Bucks vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$320 @ 80.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Lost
No$12 @ 60.0¢
Hawks vs. PistonsLost
Hawks$445 @ 22.5¢
Suns vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$801 @ 89.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Lost
Yes$49 @ 69.0¢
Rockets vs. JazzLost
Jazz$638 @ 16.0¢
Bulls vs. HornetsLost
Bulls$2.8k @ 56.0¢
Bucks vs. WizardsWon
Wizards$406 @ 20.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Won
Yes$43 @ 86.0¢
Knicks vs. HawksWon
Knicks$1.0k @ 47.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Lost
Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
Suns vs. KingsWon
Suns$1.3k @ 87.3¢
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Lost
No$15 @ 29.0¢
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Won
Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
Cavaliers vs. PacersLost
Pacers$683 @ 34.5¢
Timberwolves vs. MagicWon
Magic$2.0k @ 78.0¢
Timberwolves vs. MagicLost
Timberwolves$960 @ 32.0¢
Mavericks vs. LakersWon
Lakers$4.4k @ 81.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Tech	Yes	$13	13.0¢

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢