0x783d…9a35

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x783d703bad79eb631f39f10ce3b1dddd70679a35
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.9pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

67% @ 47.1¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

173

Avg size

$41

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	83% (19/23)	+69%	23
Tech	33% (1/3)	+10%	3
Politics	33% (1/3)	-88%	3
Sports	50% (1/2)	+63%	2

Other23 bets
Hit rate
83% (19/23)
ROI
+69%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+10%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-88%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+63%

Track record

71% hit · 22/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	17.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$65	58.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?	Yes	$219	79.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$401	60.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$594	62.5¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$1.9k	34.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	$5	48.0¢	Won
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	$3	32.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	No	$76	75.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$26	20.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1	42.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$96	25.2¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	Yes	$150	75.8¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$102	58.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	Yes	$206	75.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	$314	54.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$173	47.2¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$1	57.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	$387	38.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	$59	56.6¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$42	55.6¢	Won
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	$11	0.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	No	$58	58.0¢	Won
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?	Yes	$35	88.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	No	$3	54.0¢	Won
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$5	13.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$2.0k	45.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	$55	55.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	$19	55.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	$119	53.0¢	Won

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 17.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$65 @ 58.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Won
Yes$219 @ 79.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Won
No$401 @ 60.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$594 @ 62.5¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 34.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Won
No$5 @ 48.0¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?Lost
Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Won
No$76 @ 75.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Won
No$26 @ 20.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$1 @ 42.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Lost
Yes$96 @ 25.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?Won
Yes$150 @ 75.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$102 @ 58.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Lost
Yes$206 @ 75.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Won
No$314 @ 54.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Won
No$173 @ 47.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 57.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Won
No$387 @ 38.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Won
No$59 @ 56.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$42 @ 55.6¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Lost
No$11 @ 0.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Won
No$58 @ 58.0¢
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Won
Yes$35 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?Won
No$3 @ 54.0¢
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 45.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Won
No$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Won
No$19 @ 55.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Won
No$119 @ 53.0¢

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