0x77fb…266c

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics114 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (72/114)

  ROI

  +8%

• Other7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  -18%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Economy2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +46%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +13%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  Yes$2.7k @ 34.9¢
• Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$23 @ 49.0¢
• Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$360 @ 1.8¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?Lost
  Yes$47 @ 0.7¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$53 @ 0.4¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 0.4¢
• First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?Won
  Yes$41 @ 87.3¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseWon
  No$42.2k @ 92.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$30.4k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 71.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 19.6¢
• Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Lost
  No$8 @ 19.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Won
  Yes$142 @ 90.6¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Won
  No$911 @ 91.1¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$630 @ 62.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 20.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$1.1k @ 30.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Won
  No$608 @ 24.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 74.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$450 @ 30.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Lost
  Yes$158 @ 72.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Lost
  No$153 @ 73.0¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Won
  Yes$5.3k @ 87.0¢
• Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Won
  No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Lost
  No$150 @ 7.5¢
• Will Béatrice Hodonou win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Won
  No$400 @ 81.9¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
  Yes$300 @ 10.0¢
• Iran leadership change by September 30?Won
  No$2.6k @ 87.7¢
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$251 @ 25.1¢
• Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Won
  No$1.5k @ 88.3¢
• Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call?Won
  Yes$90 @ 76.0¢
• Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Lost
  No$208 @ 28.0¢
• Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Won
  Yes$366 @ 37.7¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  Yes$2.4k @ 80.2¢
• Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Won
  Yes$37 @ 22.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
  Yes$325 @ 13.0¢
• Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Won
  Yes$140 @ 67.0¢
• Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Won
  Yes$62 @ 24.6¢
• Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
  Yes$2.7k @ 21.9¢
• Will Janny Gaspard win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Won
  No$141 @ 88.0¢
• Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
• Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Won
  No$80 @ 89.0¢
• Will Elena Penta win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Won
  No$81 @ 87.0¢
• Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
  Yes$62 @ 6.0¢
• Will Simon Allaire win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?Lost
  Yes$56 @ 26.3¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 34.0¢
• Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
  Yes$79 @ 7.7¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$57.5k @ 75.5¢

Current positions

• Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  No$143.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$143.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$46.5k @ 63.5¢
• Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics
  No$29.1k @ 84.1¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$12.6k @ 97.3¢
• U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics
  No$12.5k @ 88.6¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$9.3k @ 74.6¢
• Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Politics
  Yes$689 @ 85.9¢
• Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$335 @ 0.4¢
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$333 @ 3.3¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$318 @ 5.1¢
• Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?Politics
  No$294 @ 59.1¢
• Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$292 @ 0.7¢
• Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Politics
  No$285 @ 88.5¢
• Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$274 @ 1.4¢
• Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  No$266 @ 55.8¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$225 @ 2.3¢
• Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 2.0¢
• Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics
  Yes$180 @ 1.8¢
• Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$176 @ 0.4¢
• Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$174 @ 1.7¢
• Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Politics
  Yes$158 @ 72.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Politics
  No$153 @ 73.0¢
• Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$150 @ 0.3¢
• Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$149 @ 0.3¢
• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$145 @ 0.3¢
• Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$140 @ 0.7¢
• Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$120 @ 0.3¢
• Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?Politics
  Yes$103 @ 20.8¢
• Will Everton be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Sports
  Yes$100 @ 10.0¢