← Smart money
0x77fb…266c
ProfitableEdge
-19.1pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
10% @ 29.3¢
Brier
0.085
Resolved
355
Avg size
$248
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 36% (4/11) | +7% | 11 |
| Other | 67% (4/6) | -18% | 6 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (4/11)
- ROI
- +7%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- -18%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 9/21- Yes$251 @ 25.1¢
- No$1.5k @ 88.3¢
- No$208 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 80.2¢
- Yes$325 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 21.9¢
- No$80 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 34.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 7.7¢
- Yes$57.5k @ 75.5¢
- Yes$104 @ 5.2¢
- No$160 @ 16.0¢
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?LostYes$767 @ 76.0¢
- CDU$401 @ 54.4¢
- Yes$15.9k @ 49.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$190 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$760 @ 76.0¢
- No$200 @ 10.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 82.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$97.1k @ 92.4¢
- No$87.4k @ 97.4¢
- Yes$35.6k @ 87.8¢
- Yes$30.4k @ 92.0¢
- No$16.3k @ 95.6¢
- No$13.7k @ 95.6¢
- No$11.5k @ 88.9¢
- Yes$8.4k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$7.7k @ 96.2¢
- No$7.4k @ 95.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 75.7¢
- No$1.5k @ 86.6¢
- No$1.4k @ 94.5¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 62.0¢
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2k @ 74.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 91.7¢
- No$990 @ 63.3¢
- Yes$724 @ 70.8¢
- Yes$700 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$689 @ 85.9¢
- No$600 @ 60.0¢
- Will Charles Paquin win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?PoliticsNo$588 @ 85.2¢
- No$466 @ 89.5¢
- No$404 @ 91.6¢
- No$391 @ 92.3¢
- No$387 @ 78.3¢
- No$352 @ 92.3¢
- No$351 @ 72.2¢
- No$345 @ 84.1¢
- No$325 @ 77.5¢