← Smart money
0x77c8…bc8c
SharpROI
+39%
Win rate
16%
Brier
0.082
Resolved
569
Avg size
$42
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +326% | 1 |
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +326%
Track record
33% hit · 1/3| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $2.8k | 23.4¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026? | No | $360 | 9.1¢ | Lost |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Yes | $522 | 9.5¢ | Lost |
- No$2.8k @ 23.4¢
- No$360 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$522 @ 9.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$2.2k @ 27.6¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 28.3¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 1.6¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 29.1¢
- No$971 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$854 @ 6.8¢
- No$700 @ 31.5¢
- Yes$660 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$650 @ 13.0¢
- No$570 @ 11.5¢
- Under$500 @ 23.0¢
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?GeopoliticsNo$464 @ 13.8¢
- No$460 @ 48.3¢
- No$454 @ 10.7¢
- No$436 @ 17.0¢
- No$410 @ 45.9¢
- No$304 @ 18.2¢
- No$250 @ 46.6¢
- Under$250 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$245 @ 7.0¢
- No$208 @ 5.2¢
- No$200 @ 20.0¢
- No$173 @ 4.5¢
- No$165 @ 24.0¢
- No$163 @ 18.3¢
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?GeopoliticsYes$149 @ 11.9¢
- Yes$110 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$100 @ 10.2¢
- No$69 @ 23.7¢