0x7726…4aee

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x77266604e63f5caf08d19caebae0c563ce064aee
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.7pp

ROI

+53%

Win rate

18% @ 11.6¢

Brier

0.109

Resolved

3723

Avg size

$44

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (62/181)	+50%	181
Politics	45% (14/31)	+59%	31
Geopolitics	17% (1/6)	-52%	6
Economy	50% (2/4)	+82%	4
Tech	100% (2/2)	+27%	2
Science	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Culture	100% (1/1)	+30%	1

Other181 bets
Hit rate
34% (62/181)
ROI
+50%
Politics31 bets
Hit rate
45% (14/31)
ROI
+59%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-52%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+82%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+27%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+30%

Track record

36% hit · 82/227

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	$679	97.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?	Yes	$41	5.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 24?	Yes	$20	0.4¢	Lost
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$4.0k	17.1¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$178	6.3¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$29	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?	Yes	$13	9.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C or below on March 14?	Yes	$96	83.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 19?	Yes	$16	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?	Yes	$29	2.0¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$2.8k	24.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 12?	Yes	$12	1.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	10.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 15?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	Yes	$200	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 16?	Yes	$137	5.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$318	20.6¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$4.1k	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$924	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?	No	$192	86.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 7?	Yes	$20	4.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$2.0k	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?	Yes	$40	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	Yes	$93	7.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	$15	3.1¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$2.2k	39.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	$352	52.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 19?	Yes	$40	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?	Yes	$293	16.8¢	Lost
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$3.6k	15.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 19?	Yes	$40	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18?	No	$228	57.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 13?	Yes	$22	0.7¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$7.0k	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?	Yes	$301	13.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?	No	$95	35.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?	Yes	$140	14.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	9.8¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	$475	78.2¢	Won
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	$230	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 7?	Yes	$13	0.3¢	Lost
Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$153	31.2¢	Won
Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$323	71.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 7?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 7?	No	$125	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?	Yes	$12	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?	No	$14	55.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	Yes	$44	1.1¢	Lost

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Won
No$679 @ 97.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?Lost
Yes$41 @ 5.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 24?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$4.0k @ 17.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$178 @ 6.3¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$29 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?Won
Yes$13 @ 9.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C or below on March 14?Won
Yes$96 @ 83.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 19?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?Won
Yes$29 @ 2.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 24.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 12?Lost
Yes$12 @ 1.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 10.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Lost
Yes$200 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 16?Lost
Yes$137 @ 5.2¢
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
No$318 @ 20.6¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
No$924 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?Won
No$192 @ 86.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 7?Lost
Yes$20 @ 4.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$2.0k @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?Lost
Yes$40 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?Lost
Yes$93 @ 7.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
No$2.2k @ 39.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Won
No$352 @ 52.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 19?Lost
Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?Lost
Yes$293 @ 16.8¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$3.6k @ 15.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 19?Lost
Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18?Won
No$228 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 13?Lost
Yes$22 @ 0.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$7.0k @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?Lost
Yes$301 @ 13.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?Won
No$95 @ 35.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?Lost
Yes$140 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 9.8¢
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Won
Yes$475 @ 78.2¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Lost
Yes$230 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 7?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.3¢
Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
No$153 @ 31.2¢
Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
Yes$323 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 7?Won
No$125 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?Lost
Yes$12 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?Lost
No$14 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?Lost
Yes$44 @ 1.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$3.9k	44.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$3.8k	38.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	52.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2.6k	48.7¢
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Politics	No	$1.9k	65.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	57.7¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	23.3¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	92.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$512	66.2¢
Spain snap election called in 2026?	Politics	No	$198	39.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$171	59.0¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$155	2.5¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$155	2.5¢
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$155	2.5¢
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$155	2.5¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$155	2.5¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$155	2.5¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$155	2.5¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$155	2.5¢
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	No	$152	69.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$52	14.1¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	50.0¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$3.9k @ 44.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$3.8k @ 38.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 52.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
No$2.6k @ 48.7¢
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Politics
No$1.9k @ 65.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 57.7¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 23.3¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 92.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$512 @ 66.2¢
Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics
No$198 @ 39.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$171 @ 59.0¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$155 @ 2.5¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$155 @ 2.5¢
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$155 @ 2.5¢
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$155 @ 2.5¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$155 @ 2.5¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$155 @ 2.5¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$155 @ 2.5¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$155 @ 2.5¢
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
No$152 @ 69.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$52 @ 14.1¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢