0x7712…1aa3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x771265008ba6b92b0e400726dd7f80ba2d691aa3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.1pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

74% @ 61.0¢

Brier

0.166

Resolved

Avg size

$43

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	62% (24/39)	+28%	39
Sports	20% (1/5)	-5%	5
Politics	100% (2/2)	+12%	2
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-61%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+104%	1

Other39 bets
Hit rate
62% (24/39)
ROI
+28%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-5%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+12%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-61%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+104%

Track record

59% hit · 29/49

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Suns vs. Rockets	Suns	$2	18.0¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	$24	24.0¢	Won
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?	Yes	$570	81.4¢	Won
Thunder vs. Warriors	Thunder	$20	83.0¢	Won
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	$9	3.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$149	82.6¢	Lost
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	$20	51.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$20	72.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$250	89.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Pistons	Trail Blazers	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	$26	26.9¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans	Timberwolves	$50	80.7¢	Won
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$890	89.0¢	Won
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)	Hornets	$10	52.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$50	13.1¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?	Yes	$5	27.4¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$46	23.6¢	Won
Spread: Suns (-4.5)	Trail Blazers	$5	56.0¢	Won
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$32	89.6¢	Won
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$20	49.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$301	90.0¢	Won
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$200	78.0¢	Won
Hawks vs. Hornets	Hawks	$4	25.0¢	Lost
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$25	8.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$102	35.4¢	Lost
Warriors vs. 76ers	76ers	$50	59.0¢	Won
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	Yes	$20	42.0¢	Lost
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$50	49.0¢	Won
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$51	65.6¢	Won
Pistons vs. Bucks	Bucks	$20	88.0¢	Won
Pistons vs. Bucks	Pistons	$20	89.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?	Yes	$12	27.0¢	Lost
Lakers vs. 76ers	Lakers	$4	46.8¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$100	89.0¢	Won
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	Yes	$100	78.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	Yes	$13	37.5¢	Won
Trump wins every swing state?	No	$100	76.0¢	Lost
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$50	24.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Pacers	Knicks	$3	32.0¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$100	73.0¢	Won
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?	Yes	$60	60.0¢	Won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)	Clippers	$7	70.0¢	Lost
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$25	3.8¢	Lost
Spread: Magic (-8.5)	Spurs	$10	89.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$9	47.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans	Trail Blazers	$12	61.0¢	Lost

Suns vs. RocketsLost
Suns$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
No$24 @ 24.0¢
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?Won
Yes$570 @ 81.4¢
Thunder vs. WarriorsWon
Thunder$20 @ 83.0¢
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Lost
Yes$9 @ 3.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$149 @ 82.6¢
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Lost
No$20 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Won
Yes$20 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$250 @ 89.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. PistonsLost
Trail Blazers$3 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Won
No$26 @ 26.9¢
Timberwolves vs. PelicansWon
Timberwolves$50 @ 80.7¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$890 @ 89.0¢
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Lost
Hornets$10 @ 52.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$50 @ 13.1¢
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Won
Yes$5 @ 27.4¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$46 @ 23.6¢
Spread: Suns (-4.5)Won
Trail Blazers$5 @ 56.0¢
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$32 @ 89.6¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Lost
Yes$20 @ 49.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$301 @ 90.0¢
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$200 @ 78.0¢
Hawks vs. HornetsLost
Hawks$4 @ 25.0¢
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$25 @ 8.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$102 @ 35.4¢
Warriors vs. 76ersWon
76ers$50 @ 59.0¢
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Lost
Yes$20 @ 42.0¢
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 49.0¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$51 @ 65.6¢
Pistons vs. BucksWon
Bucks$20 @ 88.0¢
Pistons vs. BucksLost
Pistons$20 @ 89.0¢
Thunder vs. SpursLost
Thunder$1 @ 12.0¢
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Lost
Yes$12 @ 27.0¢
Lakers vs. 76ersWon
Lakers$4 @ 46.8¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$100 @ 89.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Won
Yes$100 @ 78.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Won
Yes$13 @ 37.5¢
Trump wins every swing state?Lost
No$100 @ 76.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$50 @ 24.0¢
Knicks vs. PacersWon
Knicks$3 @ 32.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Won
Yes$100 @ 73.0¢
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Won
Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Lost
Clippers$7 @ 70.0¢
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$25 @ 3.8¢
Spread: Magic (-8.5)Won
Spurs$10 @ 89.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. PelicansWon
Pelicans$9 @ 47.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. PelicansLost
Trail Blazers$12 @ 61.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	No	$800	89.3¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$200	84.9¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$200	78.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$100	40.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$100	85.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tech	Yes	$48	48.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$40	85.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$10	8.8¢

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
No$800 @ 89.3¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$200 @ 84.9¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
Yes$200 @ 78.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$100 @ 40.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$100 @ 85.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$40 @ 85.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$10 @ 8.8¢