0x75dc…698e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x75dc67aff0a499e6b3ec6140816b15626786698e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.3pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

70% @ 59.8¢

Brier

0.116

Resolved

204

Avg size

$24

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	64% (16/25)	+4%	25
Other	67% (6/9)	-30%	9
Geopolitics	100% (9/9)	+42%	9
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics25 bets
Hit rate
64% (16/25)
ROI
+4%
Other9 bets
Hit rate
67% (6/9)
ROI
-30%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
100% (9/9)
ROI
+42%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

70% hit · 31/44

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	$108	94.0¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$45	68.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	31.3¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$116	85.8¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	$28	87.0¢	Won
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$33	0.1¢	Lost
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$102	86.7¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$113	63.3¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	Yes	$20	79.0¢	Won
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$134	85.9¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$78	73.9¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	78.0¢	Lost
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$21	71.7¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$660	68.5¢	Won
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$256	72.2¢	Lost
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	$43	88.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$34	68.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$298	74.7¢	Won
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$30	32.8¢	Lost
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	$49	66.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	Yes	$81	56.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$206	75.7¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$149	56.7¢	Won
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	$152	83.4¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	17.8¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$246	63.7¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$19	42.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$235	23.7¢	Lost
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	Yes	$16	55.9¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	$189	64.8¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$106	66.9¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	$100	45.3¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	$13	82.2¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$549	77.7¢	Won
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$82	76.1¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	8.4¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$103	41.3¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	$147	68.3¢	Won
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$62	65.1¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$36	73.0¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$111	66.8¢	Won
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	No	$131	44.5¢	Lost
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$6	85.8¢	Won
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?	Yes	$8	10.1¢	Won

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Won
Yes$108 @ 94.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
No$45 @ 68.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 31.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$116 @ 85.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Won
No$28 @ 87.0¢
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$33 @ 0.1¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$102 @ 86.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
Yes$113 @ 63.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Won
Yes$20 @ 79.0¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
No$134 @ 85.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$78 @ 73.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 78.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$21 @ 71.7¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$660 @ 68.5¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Lost
Yes$256 @ 72.2¢
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Won
No$43 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Won
Yes$34 @ 68.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Won
Yes$298 @ 74.7¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
Yes$30 @ 32.8¢
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Won
No$49 @ 66.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Lost
Yes$81 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Won
Yes$206 @ 75.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$149 @ 56.7¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
No$152 @ 83.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 17.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$246 @ 63.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$19 @ 42.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$235 @ 23.7¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Won
Yes$16 @ 55.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Won
No$189 @ 64.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
No$106 @ 66.9¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Won
No$100 @ 45.3¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Won
No$13 @ 82.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Won
Yes$549 @ 77.7¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
No$82 @ 76.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 8.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$103 @ 41.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Won
Yes$147 @ 68.3¢
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
Yes$62 @ 65.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$36 @ 73.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Won
No$111 @ 66.8¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Lost
No$131 @ 44.5¢
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
No$6 @ 85.8¢
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Won
Yes$8 @ 10.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	No	$496	69.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$420	85.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$290	49.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$219	48.1¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$184	46.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$175	77.1¢
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$166	93.0¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$135	61.4¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$71	63.2¢

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
No$496 @ 69.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$420 @ 85.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$290 @ 49.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$219 @ 48.1¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$184 @ 46.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$175 @ 77.1¢
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$166 @ 93.0¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$135 @ 61.4¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Politics
Yes$71 @ 63.2¢