0x73e3…3239

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x73e35ce0b7e36ef3ce29ebd12b30b28007383239
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+22.7pp

ROI

+47%

Win rate

66% @ 43.5¢

Brier

0.166

Resolved

Avg size

$552

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (11/20)	+49%	20
Politics	75% (3/4)	+13%	4
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+36%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+13%	1

Other20 bets
Hit rate
55% (11/20)
ROI
+49%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+13%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+36%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%

Track record

59% hit · 16/27

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	Yes	$508	18.2¢	Lost
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$74	11.9¢	Lost
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	$1.8k	72.2¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$312	12.0¢	Lost
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	Yes	$15	2.2¢	Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$144	0.7¢	Lost
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	$604	85.8¢	Won
Map Handicap: m1x (-1.5) vs Dripmen (+1.5)	Dripmen	$29	0.8¢	Lost
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$123	10.2¢	Lost
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	$28	3.3¢	Won
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	$285	2.6¢	Lost
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	Yes	$6	0.1¢	Won
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	$769	81.0¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$1.8k	76.7¢	Won
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	$286	88.5¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	$16	0.1¢	Lost
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$174	99.5¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?	No	$205	99.9¢	Won
Will Spirit Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	$3.8k	80.0¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$590	48.8¢	Won
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?	No	$7.1k	99.9¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$24	99.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$11.8k	29.3¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$17.9k	70.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	99.0¢	Won

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Lost
Yes$508 @ 18.2¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Lost
Yes$74 @ 11.9¢
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Won
No$1.8k @ 72.2¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$312 @ 12.0¢
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Lost
Yes$15 @ 2.2¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$144 @ 0.7¢
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$604 @ 85.8¢
Map Handicap: m1x (-1.5) vs Dripmen (+1.5)Lost
Dripmen$29 @ 0.8¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Lost
No$123 @ 10.2¢
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?Won
No$28 @ 3.3¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$285 @ 2.6¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?Won
Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?Won
No$769 @ 81.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 76.7¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
No$286 @ 88.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.1¢
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Won
Yes$174 @ 99.5¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Won
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?Won
No$205 @ 99.9¢
Will Spirit Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Won
No$3.8k @ 80.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$590 @ 48.8¢
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?Won
No$7.1k @ 99.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$24 @ 99.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$11.8k @ 29.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$17.9k @ 70.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 99.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$16.5k	94.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	68.7¢
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Politics	No	$1	94.5¢

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics
Yes$16.5k @ 94.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 68.7¢
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics
No$1 @ 94.5¢