← Smart money
0x720a…40f1
SharpEdge
+10.8pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
44% @ 33.3¢
Brier
0.036
Resolved
177
Avg size
$69
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 33% (2/6) | +25% | 6 |
| Other | 60% (3/5) | +17% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +30% | 2 |
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- +25%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +17%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +30%
Track record
54% hit · 7/13- Yes$41 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$70 @ 6.9¢
- No$991 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 84.9¢
- No$3.5k @ 75.6¢
- Yes$70 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 3.2¢
- No$806 @ 53.2¢
- Yes$47 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$70 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 86.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 80.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?PoliticsNo$1.8k @ 89.8¢
- Yes$690 @ 69.0¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsNo$504 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 74.9¢
- Yes$155 @ 15.5¢
- No$150 @ 88.0¢
- No$55 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 62.0¢
- No$50 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$32 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 6.4¢
- No$20 @ 87.0¢
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$20 @ 39.0¢