← Smart money
0x7166…c150
ProfitableEdge
+18.3pp
ROI
+233%
Win rate
44% @ 26.0¢
Brier
0.300
Resolved
97
Avg size
$9
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 23% (3/13) | +511% | 13 |
| Other | 80% (8/10) | +17% | 10 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (3/13)
- ROI
- +511%
- Other10 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (8/10)
- ROI
- +17%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
Track record
50% hit · 12/24- Devils$160 @ 62.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 65.0¢
- No$13 @ 78.0¢
- Blackhawks$137 @ 48.7¢
- Bruins$20 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 2.5¢
- Rangers$20 @ 53.0¢
- Spurs$20 @ 60.0¢
- Panthers$40 @ 48.0¢
- Red Wings$8 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$107 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
- Janice Tjen$36 @ 38.3¢
- Tatjana Maria$6 @ 63.0¢
- Pelicans$20 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 2.8¢
- Nuggets$40 @ 70.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$19 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
- No$27 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$93 @ 5.5¢
- Giorgia Pedone$2 @ 4.0¢
- Under$7 @ 54.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Politics | No | $40 | 73.5¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | Yes | $22 | 6.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $20 | 78.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $20 | 7.4¢ |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 15.0¢ |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Tech | Yes | $20 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Crypto | No | $14 | 60.0¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $14 | 27.2¢ |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $13 | 94.0¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Politics | No | $7 | 96.0¢ |
- No$40 @ 73.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 6.0¢
- No$20 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 7.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 16.0¢
- No$14 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 94.0¢
- No$7 @ 96.0¢