0x6e2e…79bf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6e2e99fdc8cd6c3be25bdb9b6a26cc67153779bf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.0pp

ROI

+31%

Win rate

63% @ 49.5¢

Brier

0.132

Resolved

Avg size

$250

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	50% (2/4)	+40%	4
Other	75% (3/4)	+163%	4
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+16%	2

Politics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+40%
Other4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+163%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+16%

Track record

60% hit · 6/10

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$10.6k	70.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$473	85.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$9	5.9¢	Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$79	0.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	$364	86.7¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$61	13.4¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$3.3k	86.3¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$21	7.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$10.6k @ 70.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$473 @ 85.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$9 @ 5.9¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$79 @ 0.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Won
No$364 @ 86.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$61 @ 13.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$3.3k @ 86.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$1	5.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.5¢

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢