0x6dc2…d8f0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6dc264d9a887e0df605e2ff0345080461e3dd8f0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+15.4pp

ROI

+138%

Win rate

33% @ 17.2¢

Brier

0.206

Resolved

Avg size

$12

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	30% (10/33)	+151%	33
Politics	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other33 bets
Hit rate
30% (10/33)
ROI
+151%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

23% hit · 10/43

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	$10	37.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Yes	$10	3.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	$10	1.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	$10	7.8¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$40	35.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$33	0.6¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$10	35.0¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 3?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	No	$2	2.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?	No	$2	6.3¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	0.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	No	$1	3.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Yes	$5	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 1?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	Yes	$3	1.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	$10	29.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	No	$2	28.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	$65	39.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	20.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	$1	13.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?	Yes	$206	48.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	$101	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	Yes	$1	7.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?	No	$5	2.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19?	Yes	$11	17.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?	Yes	$5	29.1¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?	No	$10	24.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	No	$2	10.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	$3	23.0¢	Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Lost
Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$40 @ 35.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$33 @ 0.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
No$10 @ 35.0¢
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?Won
No$2 @ 2.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?Won
No$2 @ 6.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?Won
No$1 @ 3.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?Lost
Yes$5 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Lost
Yes$10 @ 29.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Lost
No$2 @ 28.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Won
Yes$65 @ 39.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 13.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Won
Yes$206 @ 48.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Won
Yes$101 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?Won
No$5 @ 2.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19?Lost
Yes$11 @ 17.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?Lost
Yes$5 @ 29.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 24.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?Won
No$2 @ 10.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Lost
Yes$3 @ 23.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$40	35.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$33	0.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$20	2.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 140 billion views by August 31?	—	Yes	$11	12.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?	Other	Yes	$10	10.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	—	Yes	$10	29.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	Other	Yes	$10	42.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Other	Yes	$10	37.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$10	35.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?	Other	Yes	$10	22.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	20.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$10	18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19?	Crypto	Yes	$10	17.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Other	Yes	$10	17.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Other	Yes	$10	3.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 37.0 million views on day 6?	—	Yes	$10	12.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Other	Yes	$10	7.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	Other	Yes	$10	4.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Other	Yes	$10	1.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	1.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	0.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	0.2¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$9	0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	—	Yes	$6	26.0¢
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$6	0.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?	—	No	$5	2.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	—	Yes	$5	51.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	—	Yes	$5	42.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?	—	No	$5	9.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?	—	No	$5	4.9¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$40 @ 35.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$33 @ 0.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 140 billion views by August 31?—
Yes$11 @ 12.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?Other
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?—
Yes$10 @ 29.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?Other
Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Other
Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$10 @ 35.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?Other
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 20.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19?Crypto
Yes$10 @ 17.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Other
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Other
Yes$10 @ 3.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 37.0 million views on day 6?—
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Other
Yes$10 @ 7.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?Other
Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Other
Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?—
Yes$6 @ 26.0¢
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$6 @ 0.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?—
No$5 @ 2.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?—
Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?—
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?—
No$5 @ 9.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?—
No$5 @ 4.9¢