0x6dae…e45a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6daeff7fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694ae45a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.7pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

49% @ 45.6¢

Brier

0.181

Resolved

2238

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (49/96)	+11%	96
Politics	43% (10/23)	-1%	23
Sports	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Science	20% (1/5)	+111%	5
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-3%	3

Other96 bets
Hit rate
51% (49/96)
ROI
+11%
Politics23 bets
Hit rate
43% (10/23)
ROI
-1%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Science5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+111%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-3%

Track record

46% hit · 61/133

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)	JooSang Yoo	$11	65.0¢	Lost
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$570	81.7¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$1.1k	79.1¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$156	20.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	$3	8.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?	Yes	$4	17.3¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)	Bilal Hasan	$7	86.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$393	67.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$114	81.9¢	Won
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	$63	73.3¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$769	65.4¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	34.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$1.2k	75.8¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	0.5¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$7	60.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$845	51.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 25?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$765	76.9¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$47	21.7¢	Won
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?	Yes	$8	7.6¢	Lost
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Joanderson Brito	$9	79.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	2.2¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$660	78.1¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	$116	72.5¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$131	53.9¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$1	79.0¢	Won
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 6500 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?	Yes	$2	5.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	No	$248	40.0¢	Lost
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$185	54.2¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	$5	5.7¢	Lost
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	Yes	$128	15.3¢	Won
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Arman Tsarukyan	$9	73.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	No	$14	8.4¢	Lost
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	$8	82.0¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	$602	78.5¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$279	19.5¢	Lost
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$14	2.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$156	42.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$259	58.3¢	Won
Will Aurora Gaming Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 25?	Yes	$1	4.4¢	Lost
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	$17	14.7¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	$14	88.9¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$357	70.9¢	Won
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$36	6.1¢	Lost
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$138	77.7¢	Won

UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)Lost
JooSang Yoo$11 @ 65.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$570 @ 81.7¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
No$1.1k @ 79.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$156 @ 20.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?Won
Yes$4 @ 17.3¢
UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Bilal Hasan$7 @ 86.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$393 @ 67.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$114 @ 81.9¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Won
No$63 @ 73.3¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Won
No$769 @ 65.4¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 34.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.2k @ 75.8¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 60.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$845 @ 51.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$765 @ 76.9¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$47 @ 21.7¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.6¢
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)Won
Joanderson Brito$9 @ 79.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$660 @ 78.1¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Won
No$116 @ 72.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$131 @ 53.9¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 79.0¢
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 6500 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$248 @ 40.0¢
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$185 @ 54.2¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 5.7¢
Iran strike on US military by February 28?Won
Yes$128 @ 15.3¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Arman Tsarukyan$9 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?Lost
No$14 @ 8.4¢
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Robelis Despaigne$8 @ 82.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Won
No$602 @ 78.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$279 @ 19.5¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$156 @ 42.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$259 @ 58.3¢
Will Aurora Gaming Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.4¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?Lost
Yes$17 @ 14.7¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?Won
Yes$14 @ 88.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$357 @ 70.9¢
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$36 @ 6.1¢
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$138 @ 77.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$190	69.9¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$127	81.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$109	29.1¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Politics	No	$74	72.2¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Politics	No	$41	86.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$35	31.1¢
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	14.1¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	52.0¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$12	15.8¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$12	46.2¢
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$11	13.5¢
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$10	49.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$6	12.7¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$190 @ 69.9¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$127 @ 81.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$109 @ 29.1¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
No$74 @ 72.2¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics
No$41 @ 86.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
No$35 @ 31.1¢
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 14.1¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 52.0¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics
Yes$12 @ 15.8¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
No$12 @ 46.2¢
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$11 @ 13.5¢
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Politics
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics
Yes$6 @ 12.7¢