0x6d9d…6703

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6d9d12635c667a489762e557281c72c083976703
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.8pp

ROI

+42%

Win rate

83% @ 63.2¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

Avg size

$55

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	82% (23/28)	+43%	28
Politics	91% (10/11)	+63%	11
Sports	50% (3/6)	-62%	6
Tech	100% (1/1)	+59%	1

Other28 bets
Hit rate
82% (23/28)
ROI
+43%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
91% (10/11)
ROI
+63%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-62%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+59%

Track record

80% hit · 37/46

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	$30	34.5¢	Won
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda Sanchis	David Jorda Sanchis	$20	62.0¢	Lost
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	$15	60.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$120	71.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?	No	$26	59.5¢	Lost
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	$95	46.1¢	Won
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$22	88.0¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$54	48.4¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$18	27.0¢	Won
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$103	6.6¢	Lost
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$25	80.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	$21	88.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	$60	59.0¢	Won
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	$200	78.8¢	Won
Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	$9	73.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$80	82.8¢	Won
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$55	83.0¢	Won
Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	$110	64.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	Yes	$35	76.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$143	53.4¢	Won
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	No	$9	72.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$331	86.6¢	Won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	$144	40.0¢	Won
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	$30	62.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	$45	79.5¢	Won
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance	Brazil	$30	74.0¢	Won
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	England	$56	53.0¢	Won
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$81	71.5¢	Won
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?	No	$16	29.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$78	75.9¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	$26	22.1¢	Won
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	$1	66.7¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$60	51.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$9	79.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$200	60.0¢	Won
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	$292	62.9¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$10	89.0¢	Won
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	$15	20.8¢	Won
Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	$8	87.0¢	Won
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Azure Dragon Gaming	$26	71.0¢	Won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Arizona Diamondbacks	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$48	84.8¢	Won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	No	$25	71.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$35	75.9¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$45	82.6¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	No	$54	53.0¢	Lost

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Won
No$30 @ 34.5¢
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda SanchisLost
David Jorda Sanchis$20 @ 62.0¢
Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Won
Under$15 @ 60.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$120 @ 71.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?Lost
No$26 @ 59.5¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Won
No$95 @ 46.1¢
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$22 @ 88.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Won
No$54 @ 48.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
No$18 @ 27.0¢
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$103 @ 6.6¢
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$25 @ 80.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Won
Yes$21 @ 88.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 59.0¢
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?Won
Yes$200 @ 78.8¢
Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?Lost
Yes$9 @ 73.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
No$80 @ 82.8¢
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$55 @ 83.0¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Lost
No$110 @ 64.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?Won
Yes$35 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
No$143 @ 53.4¢
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$9 @ 72.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$331 @ 86.6¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Won
Yes$144 @ 40.0¢
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$30 @ 62.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Won
Yes$45 @ 79.5¢
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceWon
Brazil$30 @ 74.0¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWon
England$56 @ 53.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$81 @ 71.5¢
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?Won
No$16 @ 29.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$78 @ 75.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Won
No$26 @ 22.1¢
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 66.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 51.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$9 @ 79.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 60.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Won
No$292 @ 62.9¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Won
No$15 @ 20.8¢
Morocco leading at halftime?Won
Yes$8 @ 87.0¢
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageWon
Azure Dragon Gaming$26 @ 71.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsWon
Arizona Diamondbacks$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$48 @ 84.8¢
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$25 @ 71.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$35 @ 75.9¢
Switzerland vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?Won
Yes$45 @ 82.6¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Lost
No$54 @ 53.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$34	65.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$34 @ 65.0¢