0x6bab…1292

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics42 bets

  Hit rate

  55% (23/42)

  ROI

  +42%

• Other23 bets

  Hit rate

  52% (12/23)

  ROI

  -4%

• Sports16 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (6/16)

  ROI

  +16%

• Crypto6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  +50%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (1/5)

  ROI

  -71%

• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Lost
  Yes$51 @ 5.7¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$9.9k @ 9.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$34.4k @ 14.1¢
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Lost
  No$8.1k @ 36.5¢
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Won
  Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
• US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 89.8¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Won
  No$715 @ 84.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
  Yes$7.3k @ 22.4¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$112.4k @ 49.8¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$29.8k @ 25.2¢
• Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Won
  No$3.8k @ 34.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
  No$4.3k @ 47.9¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 38.6¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 8.2¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 44.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 50.0¢
• Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$19 @ 3.6¢
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Lost
  No$90.2k @ 64.1¢
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Won
  Yes$20.6k @ 20.7¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
  No$3.7k @ 33.0¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Lost
  Yes$2.3k @ 9.8¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$41.3k @ 86.5¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$10.0k @ 33.1¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$7.0k @ 41.6¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$3.6k @ 28.6¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$93.4k @ 68.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$18.1k @ 26.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$106.4k @ 61.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.7k @ 52.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$8.1k @ 84.6¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 18.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
  No$18.4k @ 73.5¢
• Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Lost
  No$1.8k @ 14.6¢
• Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Won
  Yes$8.3k @ 80.1¢
• Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Lost
  Yes$7.1k @ 64.0¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  No$2.5k @ 5.0¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$74.6k @ 85.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
  No$38.6k @ 80.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$54.9k @ 21.5¢
• Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
  Yes$3.9k @ 42.9¢
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Won
  Yes$6.7k @ 21.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Lost
  Yes$443 @ 15.0¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Lost
  No$3.6k @ 20.1¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Won
  Yes$3.1k @ 55.0¢
• Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Lost
  Yes$4.2k @ 38.0¢
• 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Lost
  No$188 @ 5.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$24.3k @ 89.0¢
• Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Won
  No$3.6k @ 96.3¢
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$3 @ 58.2¢
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$117.3k @ 63.5¢

Current positions

• Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$80.2k @ 99.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$69.0k @ 76.6¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
  No$40.6k @ 91.3¢
• Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$16.1k @ 63.8¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$15.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$15.0k @ 50.0¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  No$11.3k @ 83.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$9.1k @ 74.2¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?—
  No$8.7k @ 87.0¢
• Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics
  No$8.5k @ 90.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$4.8k @ 44.1¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  Yes$3.8k @ 24.0¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$3.1k @ 82.5¢
• Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 96.5¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 78.0¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$447 @ 4.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  Yes$62 @ 28.0¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  Yes$19 @ 10.0¢
• Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?—
  No$6 @ 46.0¢