0x6bab…1292

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+20.0pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

57% @ 37.2¢

Brier

0.219

Resolved

5683

Avg size

$531

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (89/170)	+17%	170
Politics	52% (38/73)	+16%	73
Sports	20% (10/50)	+13%	50
Crypto	50% (4/8)	+46%	8
Geopolitics	17% (1/6)	-48%	6

Other170 bets
Hit rate
52% (89/170)
ROI
+17%
Politics73 bets
Hit rate
52% (38/73)
ROI
+16%
Sports50 bets
Hit rate
20% (10/50)
ROI
+13%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+46%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-48%

Track record

46% hit · 142/307

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$5.1k	91.0¢	Won
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$17.2k	42.8¢	Lost
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$25.0k	66.1¢	Lost
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$7.2k	63.9¢	Won
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$740	22.2¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$700	70.0¢	Won
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$3.1k	94.0¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$167	1.2¢	Lost
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$7.7k	94.0¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$782	4.0¢	Lost
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$217	1.2¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$8.6k	77.0¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$4.1k	43.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	$1.2k	21.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$6.3k	68.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$9.7k	87.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$13.0k	29.6¢	Won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$2.8k	14.3¢	Lost
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	$6.9k	89.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$51	5.7¢	Lost
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$33.7k	82.2¢	Won
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$4.6k	17.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9.9k	9.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.9k	57.0¢	Won

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
No$5.1k @ 91.0¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
Yes$17.2k @ 42.8¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
No$25.0k @ 66.1¢
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
No$7.2k @ 63.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$740 @ 22.2¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$700 @ 70.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
No$3.1k @ 94.0¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$167 @ 1.2¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
No$7.7k @ 94.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$782 @ 4.0¢
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$217 @ 1.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
No$8.6k @ 77.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 43.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Lost
No$1.2k @ 21.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Won
Yes$6.3k @ 68.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$9.7k @ 87.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$13.0k @ 29.6¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$2.8k @ 14.3¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
Yes$6.9k @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$51 @ 5.7¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Won
No$33.7k @ 82.2¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$4.6k @ 17.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9.9k @ 9.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.9k @ 57.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$116.3k	67.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$77.4k	77.9¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$33.9k	91.3¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$28.9k	92.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$24.5k	70.0¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Politics	Yes	$16.4k	32.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14.2k	64.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$14.2k	64.0¢
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$9.0k	90.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Culture	No	$8.7k	87.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$2.0k	83.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$187	23.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$62	28.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$19	10.0¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$116.3k @ 67.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$77.4k @ 77.9¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$33.9k @ 91.3¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$28.9k @ 92.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$24.5k @ 70.0¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics
Yes$16.4k @ 32.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$14.2k @ 64.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$14.2k @ 64.0¢
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$9.0k @ 90.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Culture
No$8.7k @ 87.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$2.0k @ 83.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$187 @ 23.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$62 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
Yes$19 @ 10.0¢