0x6a68…6679

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6a681a1e83a5f1b49837c7a02ba1bbfd72a56679
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.0pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

59% @ 53.8¢

Brier

0.165

Resolved

3695

Avg size

$52

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (201/364)	+20%	364
Sports	51% (89/173)	-8%	173
Politics	61% (17/28)	+11%	28
Crypto	40% (8/20)	-35%	20
Geopolitics	58% (7/12)	+14%	12
Science	50% (1/2)	-7%	2
Culture	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Other364 bets
Hit rate
55% (201/364)
ROI
+20%
Sports173 bets
Hit rate
51% (89/173)
ROI
-8%
Politics28 bets
Hit rate
61% (17/28)
ROI
+11%
Crypto20 bets
Hit rate
40% (8/20)
ROI
-35%
Geopolitics12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+14%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-7%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Track record

54% hit · 324/602

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$253	84.2¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$264	88.0¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$86	14.3¢	Won
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	$265	88.3¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?	Yes	$75	37.5¢	Lost
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes	Anadolu Efes	$4	28.0¢	Won
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes	Zalgiris Kaunas	$142	71.0¢	Lost
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5	Under	$171	85.5¢	Won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5	Over	$0	0.0¢	Won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5	Under	$257	87.2¢	Won
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	$450	75.0¢	Won
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	36.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$39	1.9¢	Lost
Will "Free Solo" be said 5+ times during the Taipei 101 climb?	Yes	$83	83.0¢	Won
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	$78	26.1¢	Lost
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$603	75.4¢	Won
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$122	60.0¢	Lost
Will Austria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	$191	82.9¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$127	56.2¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$75	74.8¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$312	78.0¢	Lost
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$68	68.0¢	Won
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$203	67.7¢	Won
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$22	11.0¢	Lost
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Won
Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$178	89.0¢	Won
Will "Drone" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?	No	$2	12.0¢	Won
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$1.0k	86.2¢	Won
Will Fogo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	$24	88.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	Yes	$152	38.0¢	Lost
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	$34	34.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$150	18.8¢	Lost
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$23	88.1¢	Won
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$228	75.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$1.5k	55.2¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$76	38.0¢	Lost
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$588	73.5¢	Won
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$721	24.9¢	Lost
0x0ee36d67…	No	$305	72.2¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$84	84.0¢	Won
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	$259	43.2¢	Lost
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Valencia	$56	56.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?	Yes	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Men's Tour de Flanders?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$62	62.0¢	Won
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$159	79.5¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$2.4k	68.5¢	Won
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	$204	68.0¢	Won

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$253 @ 84.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
No$264 @ 88.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$86 @ 14.3¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Won
No$265 @ 88.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?Lost
Yes$75 @ 37.5¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu EfesWon
Anadolu Efes$4 @ 28.0¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu EfesLost
Zalgiris Kaunas$142 @ 71.0¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Won
Under$171 @ 85.5¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Won
Over$0 @ 0.0¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 5.5Won
Under$257 @ 87.2¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Won
Yes$450 @ 75.0¢
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$39 @ 1.9¢
Will "Free Solo" be said 5+ times during the Taipei 101 climb?Won
Yes$83 @ 83.0¢
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Lost
No$78 @ 26.1¢
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
Yes$603 @ 75.4¢
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$122 @ 60.0¢
Will Austria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Won
No$191 @ 82.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$127 @ 56.2¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$75 @ 74.8¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$312 @ 78.0¢
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$203 @ 67.7¢
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$22 @ 11.0¢
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Won
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will "Drone" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?Won
No$2 @ 12.0¢
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$1.0k @ 86.2¢
Will Fogo launch a token by September 30 2026?Won
Yes$24 @ 88.1¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Lost
Yes$152 @ 38.0¢
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$150 @ 18.8¢
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Won
Yes$23 @ 88.1¢
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
No$228 @ 75.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$1.5k @ 55.2¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$76 @ 38.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$588 @ 73.5¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$721 @ 24.9¢
0x0ee36d67…Lost
No$305 @ 72.2¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
Valencia vs. PanathinaikosLost
Panathinaikos$259 @ 43.2¢
Valencia vs. PanathinaikosWon
Valencia$56 @ 56.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Won
Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Men's Tour de Flanders?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Lost
No$35 @ 35.0¢
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$62 @ 62.0¢
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$159 @ 79.5¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 68.5¢
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?Won
No$204 @ 68.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$5.0k	50.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$5.0k	50.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$1.2k	64.9¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?	Politics	No	$561	90.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$520	65.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$486	34.7¢
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$400	79.9¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$334	33.4¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?	Crypto	No	$267	89.0¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?	Crypto	No	$262	87.6¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$228	76.0¢
StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$195	97.4¢
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$194	97.2¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$192	96.2¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$191	95.5¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Tech	No	$182	91.0¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Crypto	No	$182	91.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$178	59.5¢
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$147	97.5¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Crypto	No	$143	66.6¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$129	64.5¢
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$98	98.2¢
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$92	96.6¢
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$88	44.0¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$80	80.0¢
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?	Crypto	No	$73	87.0¢
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$68	93.5¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$56	56.5¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Crypto	No	$41	81.4¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	Crypto	No	$16	66.5¢

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$5.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
No$5.0k @ 50.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$1.2k @ 64.9¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics
No$561 @ 90.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$520 @ 65.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$486 @ 34.7¢
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$400 @ 79.9¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$334 @ 33.4¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?Crypto
No$267 @ 89.0¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?Crypto
No$262 @ 87.6¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$228 @ 76.0¢
StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$195 @ 97.4¢
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
No$194 @ 97.2¢
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto
No$192 @ 96.2¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
No$191 @ 95.5¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech
No$182 @ 91.0¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?Crypto
No$182 @ 91.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
No$178 @ 59.5¢
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto
No$147 @ 97.5¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?Crypto
No$143 @ 66.6¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
No$129 @ 64.5¢
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$98 @ 98.2¢
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
No$92 @ 96.6¢
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
No$88 @ 44.0¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?Crypto
No$73 @ 87.0¢
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$68 @ 93.5¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$56 @ 56.5¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?Crypto
No$41 @ 81.4¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Crypto
No$16 @ 66.5¢