← Smart money
0x661d…4dc6
SharpEdge
+2.6pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
43% @ 40.3¢
Brier
0.198
Resolved
2627
Avg size
$131
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 46% (133/288) | +12% | 288 |
| Other | 49% (83/171) | +1% | 171 |
| Politics | 43% (18/42) | +47% | 42 |
| Culture | 57% (4/7) | -0% | 7 |
| Crypto | 75% (3/4) | +152% | 4 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | -20% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (1/3) | +3% | 3 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
- Sports288 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (133/288)
- ROI
- +12%
- Other171 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (83/171)
- ROI
- +1%
- Politics42 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (18/42)
- ROI
- +47%
- Culture7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- -0%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +152%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -20%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +3%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
47% hit · 244/520- Yes$4.6k @ 54.9¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 34.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 31.0¢
- Rams vs. EaglesLostEagles$5.4k @ 67.0¢
- Rams$3.3k @ 45.7¢
- Giants$453 @ 66.0¢
- Broncos$4 @ 32.0¢
- Michigan$71 @ 78.0¢
- Virginia$700 @ 56.0¢
- West Virginia$160 @ 42.0¢
- T1 Academy$223 @ 57.8¢
- Yes$13 @ 31.0¢
- HANJIN BRION$73 @ 55.0¢
- HANJIN BRION$42 @ 52.0¢
- Natus Vincere$58 @ 72.0¢
- Ramazan Temirov$676 @ 60.1¢
- Steve Erceg$358 @ 32.1¢
- No$3.2k @ 53.3¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 36.8¢
- Kings vs. LakersLostKings$26 @ 22.0¢
- Jazz$128 @ 63.0¢
- Jazz vs. NuggetsLostNuggets$22 @ 39.0¢
- Natus Vincere$36 @ 27.0¢
- Gable Steveson$351 @ 73.6¢
- Natus Vincere$37 @ 46.0¢
- Alina Charaeva$33 @ 37.5¢
- Elena Rybakina$1.0k @ 68.0¢
- Chiefs$9 @ 61.0¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$661 @ 18.5¢
- No$2.1k @ 81.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 22.2¢
- Clippers$402 @ 34.1¢
- No$10 @ 24.9¢
- Colts$1.4k @ 70.0¢
- Commanders$126 @ 10.0¢
- Yakult Brothers$70 @ 63.0¢
- Seattle Storm$2 @ 24.0¢
- No$61 @ 26.0¢
- August Holmgren$693 @ 52.0¢
- Patriots$1.4k @ 71.0¢
- Seahawks$190 @ 24.0¢
- Joshua$135 @ 76.1¢
- Prenga$435 @ 36.6¢
- Bilal Hasan$1.4k @ 82.4¢
- Nilson Rojas$0 @ 19.0¢
- Cloud9$1 @ 18.0¢
- Nongshim RedForce$89 @ 86.0¢
- Navy vs. UABLostNavy$352 @ 71.8¢
- Navy vs. UABWonUAB$317 @ 46.0¢
- England$512 @ 64.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$10.5k @ 28.9¢
- No$9.7k @ 85.4¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 54.9¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 31.7¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 34.7¢
- No$3.1k @ 33.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 74.2¢
- No$2.6k @ 81.7¢
- No$2.3k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 44.6¢
- No$2.1k @ 61.1¢
- No$1.1k @ 26.5¢
- Yes$500 @ 33.0¢
- No$232 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$127 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 29.0¢
- No$19 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 28.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$9 @ 9.5¢