0x65d4…b7e3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x65d45d1454cadae706511ec883cfb2d8ab0fb7e3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.5pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

86% @ 74.2¢

Brier

0.115

Resolved

660

Avg size

$225

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	79% (148/187)	+17%	187
Politics	89% (41/46)	+14%	46
Crypto	93% (43/46)	+16%	46
Business	78% (21/27)	+2%	27
Geopolitics	75% (6/8)	+16%	8
Sports	80% (4/5)	-7%	5
Tech	100% (4/4)	+28%	4
Economy	50% (1/2)	+22%	2
Culture	100% (1/1)	+116%	1

Other187 bets
Hit rate
79% (148/187)
ROI
+17%
Politics46 bets
Hit rate
89% (41/46)
ROI
+14%
Crypto46 bets
Hit rate
93% (43/46)
ROI
+16%
Business27 bets
Hit rate
78% (21/27)
ROI
+2%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+16%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
-7%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+28%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+22%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+116%

Track record

83% hit · 269/326

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	No	$200	95.4¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?	No	$200	87.6¢	Won
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	$200	60.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	$300	83.6¢	Won
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	No	$425	85.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	No	$150	80.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	$1.8k	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	$200	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	$1.4k	85.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	$547	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	$700	66.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	$500	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	$700	85.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	$865	86.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	$700	81.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	No	$415	83.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	$200	77.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	$1	86.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	$200	86.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	$300	86.9¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	$435	87.0¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?	No	$200	89.6¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?	No	$75	73.1¢	Won
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	$695	67.8¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	No	$883	78.5¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?	No	$420	84.0¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	$727	84.7¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	$300	66.6¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in October?	No	$430	86.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?	No	$295	90.1¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?	No	$261	87.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	$300	83.8¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	$300	85.6¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	$425	85.0¢	Lost
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	$445	85.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	$1.1k	89.8¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	$17	85.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?	Yes	$85	84.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?	No	$90	89.5¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	$16	80.0¢	Lost
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$200	78.1¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	$721	84.2¢	Won
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	$200	75.5¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?	No	$415	83.0¢	Lost
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	No	$421	83.0¢	Lost
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in October?	No	$200	84.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	No	$300	76.4¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$100	84.0¢	Won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$100	27.0¢	Lost
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	$100	74.4¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?Won
No$200 @ 95.4¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 87.6¢
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Won
No$200 @ 60.7¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 83.6¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?Won
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?Won
No$150 @ 80.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?Won
No$1.8k @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Won
No$200 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Won
No$1.4k @ 85.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Won
No$547 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?Won
No$700 @ 66.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Won
No$500 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Won
No$700 @ 85.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Won
No$865 @ 86.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Won
No$700 @ 81.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?Won
No$415 @ 83.0¢
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Lost
No$200 @ 77.0¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Won
No$200 @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Lost
No$300 @ 86.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?Won
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?Won
No$200 @ 89.6¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?Won
No$75 @ 73.1¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?Won
No$695 @ 67.8¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?Won
No$883 @ 78.5¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?Won
No$420 @ 84.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?Won
No$727 @ 84.7¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?Won
No$300 @ 66.6¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in October?Won
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?Won
No$295 @ 90.1¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?Won
No$261 @ 87.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Lost
No$300 @ 83.8¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?Lost
No$300 @ 85.6¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?Lost
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Won
No$445 @ 85.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Lost
No$1.1k @ 89.8¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?Lost
No$17 @ 85.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?Won
Yes$85 @ 84.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Won
No$90 @ 89.5¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?Lost
No$16 @ 80.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
No$200 @ 78.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Won
No$721 @ 84.2¢
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$200 @ 75.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?Lost
No$415 @ 83.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?Lost
No$421 @ 83.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in October?Lost
No$200 @ 84.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Lost
No$300 @ 76.4¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$100 @ 84.0¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$100 @ 27.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Lost
No$100 @ 74.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$311	62.3¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$300	92.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Politics	No	$200	52.2¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$200	72.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$200	45.5¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$200	88.9¢
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$200	83.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$125	25.0¢

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$311 @ 62.3¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$300 @ 92.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
No$200 @ 52.2¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$200 @ 72.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Geopolitics
No$200 @ 45.5¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$200 @ 88.9¢
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
No$200 @ 83.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$125 @ 25.0¢