0x65d4…b7e3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x65d45d1454cadae706511ec883cfb2d8ab0fb7e3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.1pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

91% @ 77.4¢

Brier

0.099

Resolved

265

Avg size

$262

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	85% (55/65)	+12%	65
Politics	92% (23/25)	+18%	25
Crypto	90% (9/10)	+25%	10
Sports	75% (3/4)	-19%	4
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+19%	3
Tech	100% (2/2)	+27%	2

Other65 bets
Hit rate
85% (55/65)
ROI
+12%
Politics25 bets
Hit rate
92% (23/25)
ROI
+18%
Crypto10 bets
Hit rate
90% (9/10)
ROI
+25%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
-19%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+19%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+27%

Track record

87% hit · 95/109

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$100	84.0¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	$100	74.4¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$200	73.8¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$1.9k	84.1¢	Won
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	$935	83.5¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?	No	$254	76.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$317	82.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	$814	74.7¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	$750	82.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	$200	43.1¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$500	81.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$400	81.9¢	Won
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$1.5k	78.5¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	No	$200	83.0¢	Won
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$350	85.6¢	Won
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$200	71.9¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$600	66.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	$200	82.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$800	78.5¢	Lost
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	$202	83.5¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$606	74.7¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	$100	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?	No	$72	62.8¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$201	83.4¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$1.0k	78.5¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?	No	$567	81.8¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$200	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	$505	85.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?	No	$100	71.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$2.8k	83.8¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?	No	$200	71.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	$1.3k	69.3¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$198	66.1¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?	No	$200	84.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	$1.7k	87.1¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$729	83.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	No	$504	88.0¢	Won
Will BNB dip to $500 in April?	No	$2	27.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	$203	76.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$504	79.0¢	Won
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	$300	88.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$684	85.5¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$205	36.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$409	73.5¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$499	78.0¢	Won
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	No	$300	88.0¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	$420	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	$200	74.5¢	Won
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$150	78.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?	No	$203	48.6¢	Won

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$100 @ 84.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Lost
No$100 @ 74.4¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
Yes$200 @ 73.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$1.9k @ 84.1¢
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Won
No$935 @ 83.5¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?Won
No$254 @ 76.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$317 @ 82.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Won
No$814 @ 74.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Won
No$750 @ 82.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$200 @ 43.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$500 @ 81.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$400 @ 81.9¢
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$1.5k @ 78.5¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?Won
No$200 @ 83.0¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
No$350 @ 85.6¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
No$200 @ 71.9¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$600 @ 66.5¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?Won
No$200 @ 82.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$800 @ 78.5¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Lost
Yes$202 @ 83.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$606 @ 74.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?Won
No$72 @ 62.8¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
No$201 @ 83.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 78.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?Won
No$567 @ 81.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Won
No$200 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Won
No$505 @ 85.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 71.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$2.8k @ 83.8¢
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?Won
No$200 @ 71.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Won
No$1.3k @ 69.3¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
Yes$198 @ 66.1¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? Lost
No$200 @ 84.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Won
No$1.7k @ 87.1¢
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$729 @ 83.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Won
No$504 @ 88.0¢
Will BNB dip to $500 in April?Won
No$2 @ 27.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Won
No$203 @ 76.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Won
No$504 @ 79.0¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Won
No$300 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Won
No$684 @ 85.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$205 @ 36.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$409 @ 73.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$499 @ 78.0¢
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Won
No$300 @ 88.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Won
No$420 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Won
No$200 @ 74.5¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
No$150 @ 78.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?Won
No$203 @ 48.6¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	—	No	$2.9k	85.5¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?	—	No	$1.9k	80.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	—	No	$1.8k	82.3¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?	—	No	$1.5k	82.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	—	No	$1.1k	79.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?	—	No	$730	84.7¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September?	—	No	$665	82.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	—	No	$600	85.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	—	No	$600	83.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	—	No	$600	85.2¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	—	Yes	$558	82.1¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Politics	No	$500	80.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 in September?	—	No	$500	85.2¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	—	No	$500	80.2¢
Will Solana reach $120 in September?	—	No	$430	86.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	—	No	$402	77.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	—	No	$280	81.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	—	No	$252	84.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$240	67.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	—	No	$204	87.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September?	—	No	$202	82.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$200	79.7¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Politics	No	$200	52.2¢
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$200	75.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$200	84.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	—	No	$200	84.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September?	—	No	$200	84.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	—	No	$200	82.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	—	No	$100	84.7¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	—	Yes	$100	46.4¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?—
No$2.9k @ 85.5¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?—
No$1.9k @ 80.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?—
No$1.8k @ 82.3¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?—
No$1.5k @ 82.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?—
No$1.1k @ 79.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?—
No$730 @ 84.7¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September?—
No$665 @ 82.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?—
No$600 @ 85.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?—
No$600 @ 83.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?—
No$600 @ 85.2¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?—
Yes$558 @ 82.1¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics
No$500 @ 80.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 in September?—
No$500 @ 85.2¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?—
No$500 @ 80.2¢
Will Solana reach $120 in September?—
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?—
No$402 @ 77.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?—
No$280 @ 81.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?—
No$252 @ 84.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$240 @ 67.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?—
No$204 @ 87.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September?—
No$202 @ 82.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?—
No$200 @ 79.7¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
No$200 @ 52.2¢
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?Geopolitics
No$200 @ 75.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?—
No$200 @ 84.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?—
No$200 @ 84.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September?—
No$200 @ 84.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?—
No$200 @ 82.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?—
No$100 @ 84.7¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?—
Yes$100 @ 46.4¢