0x6590…3a26

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x659074f8b95176e50dbdeb720be78b1666063a26
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+0.5pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

1% @ 0.6¢

Brier

0.010

Resolved

7533

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	2% (13/714)	+43%	714
Science	3% (3/88)	-57%	88
Politics	10% (1/10)	+39%	10
Crypto	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Tech	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other714 bets
Hit rate
2% (13/714)
ROI
+43%
Science88 bets
Hit rate
3% (3/88)
ROI
-57%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
10% (1/10)
ROI
+39%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

2% hit · 17/825

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	$1	7.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	$2	6.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 21?	No	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 24?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on June 5, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 23?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 8?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 10?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 29?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 12?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 17?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28?	Yes	$4	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 4?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 11?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on April 15?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 41.0 on May 8, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 17, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 24?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 24?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 9?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 24?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	$9	1.3¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 15?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?	No	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 9?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 16?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on April 15?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?	Yes	$3	1.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?	Yes	$14	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on June 5, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Lost
No$1 @ 7.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Lost
No$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 21?Lost
No$2 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on June 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on May 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 11?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on April 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 41.0 on May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?Lost
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 9?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on April 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.7¢
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on June 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$91	90.5¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	No	$29	5.3¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Business	No	$8	10.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Business	Yes	$5	0.9¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$3	0.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$0	4.0¢
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.2¢

Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$91 @ 90.5¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
No$29 @ 5.3¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?Business
No$8 @ 10.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Business
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢