← Market consensus

TechActiveends Jun 30, 2026

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

1.9¢

No

98.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Lean

No 70%Yes 30%

3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x1cfc…2111	No	$87	95.7¢	1.3×	+35%	46%	Sharp
0x5136…0e4f	Yes	$45	14.3¢	1.2×	+13%	63%	Sharp
0x45e1…5934	No	$19	97.5¢	1.3×	+19%	100%	Sharp

0x1cfc…2111Sharp

No$87 @ 95.7¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +35%
Win%: 46%

0x5136…0e4fSharp

Yes$45 @ 14.3¢

Conv: 1.2×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 63%

0x45e1…5934Sharp

No$19 @ 97.5¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +19%
Win%: 100%