← Smart money
0x64b2…55de
ProfitableEdge
+37.9pp
ROI
+101%
Win rate
62% @ 24.3¢
Brier
0.287
Resolved
143
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 38% (6/16) | +65% | 16 |
| Other | 33% (1/3) | -96% | 3 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +57% | 2 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +54% | 1 |
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (6/16)
- ROI
- +65%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -96%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +57%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +54%
Track record
41% hit · 9/22- Yes$5 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 10.9¢
- No$31 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$33 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 44.9¢
- No$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 33.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 64.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 26.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- No$1 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$15 @ 13.5¢
- No$50 @ 79.1¢
- No$1 @ 2.0¢
- No$27 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- No$1 @ 92.5¢
- No$13 @ 86.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$37 @ 95.3¢
- No$29 @ 95.4¢
- Yes$22 @ 62.0¢
- No$15 @ 84.1¢
- No$14 @ 80.0¢
- No$14 @ 93.0¢
- No$12 @ 84.8¢
- No$8 @ 94.0¢
- No$8 @ 46.5¢
- No$8 @ 95.5¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$7 @ 93.5¢
- No$6 @ 75.1¢
- No$6 @ 89.7¢
- No$6 @ 71.0¢
- No$5 @ 94.2¢
- No$5 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 92.6¢
- No$4 @ 76.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 28.4¢
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? ScienceNo$4 @ 88.0¢
- No$3 @ 90.0¢
- No$3 @ 93.3¢
- No$3 @ 78.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 83.6¢
- No$3 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
- No$3 @ 89.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$2 @ 3.7¢
- No$2 @ 92.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 49.5¢