0x64b2…55de

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x64b2120337f24f46bec3a36dda3254f902de55de
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+26.6pp

ROI

+46%

Win rate

60% @ 33.0¢

Brier

0.241

Resolved

193

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	33% (5/15)	+62%	15
Other	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+57%	2
Sports	100% (1/1)	+54%	1

Politics15 bets
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
ROI
+62%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+57%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+54%

Track record

35% hit · 7/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$22	29.1¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$7	10.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$15	13.5¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$13	86.4¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$31	30.7¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$33	0.3¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$3	44.9¢	Won
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$50	79.1¢	Won
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$3	1.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$2	0.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$56	41.6¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$5	64.9¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	80.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	No	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	$3	4.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$33	26.3¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	$27	55.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 29.1¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 10.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 13.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$13 @ 86.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$31 @ 30.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$33 @ 0.3¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
Yes$3 @ 44.9¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Won
No$50 @ 79.1¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 0.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$56 @ 41.6¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$5 @ 64.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 80.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?Lost
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$33 @ 26.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Lost
No$27 @ 55.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Politics	No	$141	91.3¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Politics	Yes	$100	97.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$44	93.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$15	83.3¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$13	84.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$11	81.6¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$7	56.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$6	52.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	23.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$5	79.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Politics	No	$4	96.4¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	No	$4	94.9¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$4	89.5¢
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Science	No	$4	88.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$3	10.6¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$3	82.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$3	4.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Geopolitics	No	$2	99.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2	49.5¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?	Politics	No	$2	52.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2	72.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$2	94.0¢
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	69.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$1	87.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Politics	No	$1	90.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Politics	No	$1	99.4¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	1.6¢
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Politics	No	$1	91.0¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Geopolitics	No	$1	98.4¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Politics	No	$1	96.0¢

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics
No$141 @ 91.3¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics
Yes$100 @ 97.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$44 @ 93.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$15 @ 83.3¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$13 @ 84.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
No$11 @ 81.6¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics
Yes$7 @ 56.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
Yes$6 @ 52.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 23.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$5 @ 79.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics
No$4 @ 96.4¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
No$4 @ 94.9¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
No$4 @ 89.5¢
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Science
No$4 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics
Yes$3 @ 10.6¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Geopolitics
Yes$3 @ 82.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Politics
Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
No$2 @ 99.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$2 @ 49.5¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Politics
No$2 @ 52.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 72.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 94.0¢
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 69.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Politics
No$1 @ 90.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics
No$1 @ 99.4¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics
No$1 @ 91.0¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 98.4¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
No$1 @ 96.0¢