← Smart money
0x62ad…79fc
SharpEdge
+12.9pp
ROI
+23%
Win rate
73% @ 60.3¢
Brier
0.214
Resolved
142
Avg size
$77
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 63% (40/63) | +1% | 63 |
| Politics | 68% (13/19) | -4% | 19 |
| Other | 69% (11/16) | +285% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +234% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports63 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (40/63)
- ROI
- +1%
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 68% (13/19)
- ROI
- -4%
- Other16 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (11/16)
- ROI
- +285%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +234%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
64% hit · 65/102- No$18 @ 77.0¢
- No$169 @ 34.0¢
- No$362 @ 83.0¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?WonNo$7 @ 81.0¢
- No$15 @ 60.0¢
- No$8 @ 85.0¢
- No$53 @ 53.8¢
- No$6 @ 23.0¢
- No$47 @ 68.0¢
- No$155 @ 35.0¢
- No$268 @ 60.0¢
- Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?WonNo$10 @ 61.0¢
- No$173 @ 35.0¢
- No$10 @ 25.3¢
- No$11 @ 38.0¢
- No$64 @ 65.8¢
- No$30 @ 73.5¢
- No$388 @ 78.0¢
- No$78 @ 88.0¢
- No$10 @ 41.0¢
- No$19 @ 88.0¢
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?WonNo$13 @ 70.0¢
- No$508 @ 71.0¢
- No$5 @ 23.9¢
- No$9 @ 5.0¢
- No$311 @ 69.0¢
- No$142 @ 48.5¢
- No$268 @ 87.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 84.2¢
- No$128 @ 13.0¢
- No$298 @ 66.0¢
- No$79 @ 89.0¢
- No$19 @ 88.0¢
- No$71 @ 79.9¢
- No$43 @ 64.0¢
- No$17 @ 71.0¢
- No$198 @ 68.0¢
- No$47 @ 69.0¢
- No$24 @ 87.0¢
- Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?WonNo$12 @ 73.1¢
- No$19 @ 86.0¢
- No$4 @ 8.9¢
- No$66 @ 81.0¢
- No$8 @ 30.0¢
- No$21 @ 89.6¢
- No$240 @ 83.0¢
- No$519 @ 60.4¢
- No$519 @ 60.1¢
- No$137 @ 88.3¢
- No$616 @ 71.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$42 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$42 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$42 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$40 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$40 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$26 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$19 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 16.7¢
- No$13 @ 57.5¢
- Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?GeopoliticsYes$13 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.1¢