← Smart money
0x60c6…247f
SharpEdge
+11.4pp
ROI
+390%
Win rate
14% @ 2.7¢
Brier
0.126
Resolved
2249
Avg size
$14
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 19% (15/79) | +713% | 79 |
| Crypto | 6% (4/64) | -46% | 64 |
| Politics | 0% (0/8) | -100% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other79 bets
- Hit rate
- 19% (15/79)
- ROI
- +713%
- Crypto64 bets
- Hit rate
- 6% (4/64)
- ROI
- -46%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/8)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
13% hit · 19/152- No$559 @ 1.8¢
- No$22 @ 2.1¢
- No$5 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$70 @ 2.6¢
- No$35 @ 0.3¢
- No$186 @ 2.8¢
- No$57 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.4¢
- No$11 @ 0.2¢
- No$732 @ 5.9¢
- No$1 @ 1.7¢
- No$11 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$103 @ 5.5¢
- No$734 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.6¢
- No$472 @ 32.2¢
- No$52 @ 0.9¢
- No$33 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$167 @ 2.5¢
- No$504 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.6¢
- No$4 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$142 @ 0.2¢
- No$31 @ 0.5¢
- No$4 @ 0.2¢
- No$2 @ 0.1¢
- No$93 @ 3.4¢
- No$17 @ 8.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 8.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 6.8¢
- No$9 @ 0.1¢
- No$3 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$533 @ 1.4¢
- No$24 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
- No$45 @ 27.0¢
- No$81 @ 1.5¢
- No$282 @ 1.5¢
- No$44 @ 1.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 47.0¢
- No$24 @ 0.2¢
- No$66 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$16 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$32 @ 0.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$3.6k @ 11.1¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 7.3¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 1.2¢
- No$981 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$576 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$436 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$399 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$323 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$282 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$248 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$225 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$200 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$188 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 1.6¢
- No$165 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$151 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$127 @ 20.1¢
- No$101 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$88 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$68 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$62 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$35 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$31 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$14 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$12 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 3.3¢
- Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?GeopoliticsYes$6 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.7¢