← Smart money
0x5ee1…9801
SharpEdge
-1.9pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
34% @ 36.1¢
Brier
0.164
Resolved
3539
Avg size
$58
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 41% (214/519) | +11% | 519 |
| Sports | 58% (14/24) | +2% | 24 |
| Politics | 33% (3/9) | -55% | 9 |
- Other519 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (214/519)
- ROI
- +11%
- Sports24 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (14/24)
- ROI
- +2%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (3/9)
- ROI
- -55%
Track record
42% hit · 231/552- India Women$864 @ 96.4¢
- Yes$597 @ 78.4¢
- No$1.7k @ 77.3¢
- India Women$1.6k @ 98.0¢
- India Women$3.3k @ 97.5¢
- No$2.8k @ 99.0¢
- India Women$1.6k @ 97.5¢
- India Women$5.9k @ 97.8¢
- India Women$5.8k @ 98.0¢
- Punjab Kings$14 @ 10.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 75.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 21.0¢
- No$206 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$13 @ 33.0¢
- Sri Lanka$540 @ 35.5¢
- No$257 @ 81.0¢
- India$1.2k @ 78.7¢
- India$728 @ 70.2¢
- Yes$266 @ 43.0¢
- No$79 @ 49.7¢
- Wings$101 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 69.0¢
- West Indies$1 @ 1.0¢
- No$46 @ 20.5¢
- Yes$93 @ 19.0¢
- Zimbabwe$18 @ 2.9¢
- Della Maddalena$106 @ 27.0¢
- Thunder vs. NetsLostNets$11 @ 32.4¢
- No$57 @ 79.7¢
- No$10 @ 28.0¢
- Álvarez$3.2k @ 82.0¢
- Sterling $679 @ 76.9¢
- No$32 @ 20.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 59.9¢
- Ireland$293 @ 34.8¢
- Sri Lanka$27 @ 81.4¢
- Long $291 @ 45.8¢
- Netherlands$413 @ 3.1¢
- Italy$2.7k @ 31.1¢
- Nepal$588 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$239 @ 47.0¢
- Delhi Capitals Women$605 @ 68.4¢
- No$606 @ 70.7¢
- Yes$595 @ 67.3¢
- No$77 @ 74.0¢
- England Under-19s$67 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$950 @ 79.6¢
- Yes$106 @ 2.0¢
- Hooper$65 @ 73.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the match end in a draw? | Sports | No | $282 | 84.7¢ |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Culture | No | $282 | 79.9¢ |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Politics | Yes | $180 | 51.6¢ |
| Will West Indies win? | Sports | Yes | $166 | 34.0¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $108 | 35.4¢ |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $80 | 42.4¢ |
| Will Amy Hunt win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? | Politics | Yes | $47 | 25.0¢ |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | No | $13 | 18.0¢ |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 42.1¢ |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.7¢ |
- No$282 @ 84.7¢
- No$282 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$180 @ 51.6¢
- Will West Indies win?SportsYes$166 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$108 @ 35.4¢
- No$80 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$47 @ 25.0¢
- No$13 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 42.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.7¢