0x5e62…c577

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5e627f86e1bff9e3742c89f5401e3752355dc577
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-8.2pp

ROI

+68%

Win rate

8% @ 16.3¢

Brier

0.071

Resolved

708

Avg size

$28

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (13/50)	+209%	50
Geopolitics	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Politics	0% (0/6)	-100%	6

Other50 bets
Hit rate
26% (13/50)
ROI
+209%
Geopolitics10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%

Track record

20% hit · 13/66

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$20	7.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?	Yes	$300	15.2¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$2	41.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Yes	$328	7.2¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	$12	8.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	$318	2.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$225	28.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	Yes	$275	41.1¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	$20	5.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	No	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$2.4k	15.2¢	Lost
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	Yes	$5	23.8¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$48	20.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	$50	10.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	$3.2k	21.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	$406	15.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	$29	19.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	$109	51.4¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	$105	5.4¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	$16	3.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?	Yes	$42	1.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2.1k	15.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	$879	4.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?	Yes	$68	3.7¢	Lost
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	No	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?	Yes	$50	41.4¢	Won
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$30	1.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?	Yes	$221	76.0¢	Won
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$276	12.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?	Yes	$35	3.4¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?	Yes	$438	10.3¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$36	3.3¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$1.2k	26.8¢	Won
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	$5	1.8¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$109	3.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$4	37.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	Yes	$345	71.9¢	Won
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?	Yes	$3	38.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	Yes	$1.1k	12.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	$15	0.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	Yes	$260	13.0¢	Won
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$200	12.5¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?	Yes	$259	5.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2	26.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	Yes	$267	24.7¢	Lost
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?	Yes	$50	53.0¢	Lost

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Lost
Yes$300 @ 15.2¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Lost
Yes$328 @ 7.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Lost
Yes$12 @ 8.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Lost
Yes$318 @ 2.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$225 @ 28.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Lost
Yes$275 @ 41.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 5.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Lost
No$3 @ 27.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 15.2¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 23.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Lost
Yes$48 @ 20.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Won
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Lost
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Lost
Yes$3.2k @ 21.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Won
Yes$406 @ 15.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Lost
No$29 @ 19.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Won
Yes$109 @ 51.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Lost
Yes$105 @ 5.4¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?Lost
Yes$42 @ 1.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 15.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Lost
Yes$879 @ 4.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?Lost
Yes$68 @ 3.7¢
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Lost
No$3 @ 25.0¢
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 41.4¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 1.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Won
Yes$221 @ 76.0¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$276 @ 12.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Lost
Yes$35 @ 3.4¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Lost
Yes$438 @ 10.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 3.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 26.8¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Lost
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$109 @ 3.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?Won
Yes$345 @ 71.9¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?Won
Yes$3 @ 38.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 12.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Lost
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Won
Yes$260 @ 13.0¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 12.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?Lost
Yes$259 @ 5.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 26.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Lost
Yes$267 @ 24.7¢
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 53.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.1k	12.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.1k	12.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$833	5.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Other	Yes	$289	7.2¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$200	12.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?	—	Yes	$175	12.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	—	Yes	$168	3.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?	—	Yes	$65	3.7¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$46	33.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?	Geopolitics	Yes	$42	1.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	—	Yes	$6	0.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?	—	Yes	$5	1.8¢

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Geopolitics
Yes$1.1k @ 12.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$1.1k @ 12.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$833 @ 5.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Other
Yes$289 @ 7.2¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$200 @ 12.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?—
Yes$175 @ 12.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?—
Yes$168 @ 3.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?—
Yes$65 @ 3.7¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$46 @ 33.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?Geopolitics
Yes$42 @ 1.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?—
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?—
Yes$5 @ 1.8¢