0x5d5d…6be6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5d5db930389105ecc1927de972696a4e52ba6be6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.4pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

62% @ 55.5¢

Brier

0.158

Resolved

1936

Avg size

$144

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (195/341)	+22%	341
Politics	65% (13/20)	+9%	20
Crypto	100% (9/9)	+25%	9
Sports	33% (2/6)	-34%	6
Tech	100% (2/2)	+61%	2
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+20%	2

Other341 bets
Hit rate
57% (195/341)
ROI
+22%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
65% (13/20)
ROI
+9%
Crypto9 bets
Hit rate
100% (9/9)
ROI
+25%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
-34%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+61%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+20%

Track record

58% hit · 222/380

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	$1.9k	91.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	$186	93.0¢	Won
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	$47	52.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$1.2k	48.1¢	Won
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	$28	92.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?	No	$2.2k	87.8¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21?	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?	Yes	$13	15.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?	No	$174	65.0¢	Won
Trump x Xi talk before July?	No	$26	26.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	No	$57	28.5¢	Lost
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	No	$315	59.7¢	Won
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?	No	$2.8k	81.5¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times May 30–June 6?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?	No	$124	24.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$1.1k	70.1¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	No	$1.6k	82.5¢	Won
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	$36	7.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$259	86.3¢	Won
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?	Yes	$78	78.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?	Yes	$2.1k	56.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$886	83.2¢	Won
Will Solana reach $270 in September?	No	$1.8k	81.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$353	62.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$136	68.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?	No	$2.7k	71.5¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 14-21?	No	$1.0k	89.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?	Yes	$62	6.2¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?	No	$633	84.2¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?	Yes	$95	9.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Solana reach 215 September 1–7?	No	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$458	54.2¢	Won
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?	Yes	$1.9k	31.2¢	Won
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?	Yes	$136	1.2¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?	Yes	$772	86.3¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$133	60.0¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$64	64.0¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?	No	$6.7k	80.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	Yes	$109	50.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$197	84.7¢	Won
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?	No	$122	61.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?	Yes	$73	15.9¢	Won
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?	No	$38	15.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $180 in September?	No	$700	70.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	No	$321	60.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	Yes	$34	67.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?	Yes	$288	19.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$258	77.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?	Yes	$35	35.0¢	Won

France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Won
No$1.9k @ 91.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?Won
No$186 @ 93.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?Won
No$47 @ 52.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Won
No$1.2k @ 48.1¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Won
No$28 @ 92.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Won
No$2.2k @ 87.8¢
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21?Lost
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?Won
Yes$13 @ 15.0¢
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?Won
No$174 @ 65.0¢
Trump x Xi talk before July?Lost
No$26 @ 26.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Lost
No$57 @ 28.5¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Won
No$315 @ 59.7¢
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?Won
No$2.8k @ 81.5¢
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times May 30–June 6?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Lost
No$124 @ 24.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$1.1k @ 70.1¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Won
No$1.6k @ 82.5¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Lost
No$36 @ 7.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$259 @ 86.3¢
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?Won
Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 56.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$886 @ 83.2¢
Will Solana reach $270 in September?Won
No$1.8k @ 81.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$353 @ 62.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
No$136 @ 68.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?Won
No$2.7k @ 71.5¢
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 14-21?Won
No$1.0k @ 89.0¢
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?Lost
Yes$62 @ 6.2¢
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?Won
No$633 @ 84.2¢
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?Lost
Yes$95 @ 9.0¢
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Solana reach 215 September 1–7?Won
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
No$458 @ 54.2¢
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 31.2¢
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?Lost
Yes$136 @ 1.2¢
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?Won
Yes$772 @ 86.3¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Won
No$133 @ 60.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$64 @ 64.0¢
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?Won
No$6.7k @ 80.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Won
Yes$109 @ 50.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
No$197 @ 84.7¢
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Lost
No$122 @ 61.0¢
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?Won
Yes$73 @ 15.9¢
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?Lost
No$38 @ 15.0¢
Will Solana dip to $180 in September?Won
No$700 @ 70.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Won
No$321 @ 60.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Lost
Yes$34 @ 67.0¢
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?Won
Yes$288 @ 19.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$258 @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Won
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$545	87.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Politics	No	$252	72.6¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Politics	No	$152	76.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	Other	Yes	$133	64.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$109	18.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Other	No	$93	93.2¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	No	$82	88.6¢

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$545 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
No$252 @ 72.6¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics
No$152 @ 76.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?Other
Yes$133 @ 64.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
No$109 @ 18.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?Other
No$93 @ 93.2¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech
No$82 @ 88.6¢