0x5bd8…5969

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5bd824993b00ad2ebebac85f72a6e765c14e5969
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+25.3pp

ROI

+110%

Win rate

72% @ 47.0¢

Brier

0.200

Resolved

Avg size

$232

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	65% (11/17)	+40%	17
Politics	100% (5/5)	+115%	5
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Other	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports17 bets
Hit rate
65% (11/17)
ROI
+40%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+115%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Other1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

62% hit · 16/26

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Japan Women's Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mary Stoiana	Oleksandra Oliynykova	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	$16	3.8¢	Lost
Taipei: Evan Zhu vs Yuta Shimizu	Evan Zhu	$15	7.6¢	Lost
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$17	71.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$17	82.0¢	Won
Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura	Masamichi Imamura	$8	15.1¢	Won
Will CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	Yes	$17	44.8¢	Won
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	$31	68.9¢	Won
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	$30	80.0¢	Won
Samsun: Bianca Andreescu vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	$21	87.1¢	Won
Costa do Sauipe: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana	Marco Cecchinato	$18	59.0¢	Won
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller	Elmer Moeller	$52	19.6¢	Won
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	$56	42.0¢	Lost
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	$71	80.8¢	Lost
Will West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?	Yes	$40	86.0¢	Won
Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Edas Butvilas	$13	26.0¢	Lost
Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	$12	49.6¢	Won
Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	$7	87.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$60	17.0¢	Lost
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$9.7k	43.2¢	Won
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	$14	86.0¢	Won
Cali: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon	Gonzalo Villanueva	$1	5.2¢	Lost
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	$2.2k	69.5¢	Won
Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume	Himeno Sakatsume	$21	7.5¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	$3	85.0¢	Won

Japan Women's Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mary StoianaLost
Oleksandra Oliynykova$10 @ 17.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Lost
No$16 @ 3.8¢
Taipei: Evan Zhu vs Yuta ShimizuLost
Evan Zhu$15 @ 7.6¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
Yes$17 @ 71.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$17 @ 82.0¢
Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi ImamuraWon
Masamichi Imamura$8 @ 15.1¢
Will CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?Won
Yes$17 @ 44.8¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09?Won
Yes$31 @ 68.9¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09?Won
Yes$30 @ 80.0¢
Samsun: Bianca Andreescu vs Anna BlinkovaWon
Anna Blinkova$21 @ 87.1¢
Costa do Sauipe: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco ComesanaWon
Marco Cecchinato$18 @ 59.0¢
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer MoellerWon
Elmer Moeller$52 @ 19.6¢
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-10-09?Lost
Yes$56 @ 42.0¢
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-09?Lost
Yes$71 @ 80.8¢
Will West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$40 @ 86.0¢
Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans RehbergLost
Edas Butvilas$13 @ 26.0¢
Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans RehbergWon
Max Hans Rehberg$12 @ 49.6¢
Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-07?Won
Yes$7 @ 87.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Lost
No$60 @ 17.0¢
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Lost
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$9.7k @ 43.2¢
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?Won
Yes$14 @ 86.0¢
Cali: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel TobonLost
Gonzalo Villanueva$1 @ 5.2¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 69.5¢
Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno SakatsumeLost
Himeno Sakatsume$21 @ 7.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Won
Yes$3 @ 85.0¢

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