0x5a21…9318

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318
Creator: WhaleGraph

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+11.2pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

52% @ 41.2¢

Brier

0.177

Resolved

225

Avg size

$31

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	10% (14/137)	+62%	137
Sports	27% (11/41)	+39%	41
Politics	13% (2/15)	-95%	15
Crypto	0% (0/14)	-100%	14
Tech	50% (3/6)	+12%	6
Culture	20% (1/5)	-36%	5
Other	100% (2/2)	+31%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+31%	1

Science137 bets
Hit rate
10% (14/137)
ROI
+62%
Sports41 bets
Hit rate
27% (11/41)
ROI
+39%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
13% (2/15)
ROI
-95%
Crypto14 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/14)
ROI
-100%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+12%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-36%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+31%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+31%

Track record

15% hit · 34/221

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 16?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?	Yes	$12	7.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	No	$1.8k	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	$7	5.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 15?	No	$16	34.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 15?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 16?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 15?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$60	13.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 16?	Yes	$1	3.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?	Yes	$6	0.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on June 16?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?	No	$463	88.5¢	Won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $110 in June?	Yes	$5	1.3¢	Lost
Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?	No	$33	25.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 16?	No	$45	84.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?	Yes	$3	0.6¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	$72	89.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	$2.8k	65.5¢	Won
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	$1	4.4¢	Lost
Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Yes	$14	4.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 15?	Yes	$1	4.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 16?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Under	$1.2k	47.7¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the World Cup?	Yes	$12	2.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 16?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5	Over	$112	32.9¢	Won
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5	Under	$191	62.7¢	Lost

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$12 @ 7.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Won
No$1.8k @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 5.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 15?Won
No$16 @ 34.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$60 @ 13.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on June 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?Won
No$463 @ 88.5¢
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Solana reach $110 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?Won
No$33 @ 25.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 16?Won
No$45 @ 84.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Won
No$72 @ 89.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$2.8k @ 65.5¢
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.4¢
Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$14 @ 4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$1.2k @ 47.7¢
Will Belgium win the World Cup?Lost
Yes$12 @ 2.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5Won
Over$112 @ 32.9¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5Lost
Under$191 @ 62.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$26.0k	30.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$16.2k	82.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10.5k	68.6¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$6.7k	59.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6.0k	68.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$5.4k	97.8¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Economy	Yes	$5.3k	49.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$4.7k	29.0¢
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$3.9k	50.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$3.8k	79.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.0k	96.7¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.9k	12.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	Other	No	$2.8k	97.7¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Politics	No	$2.7k	87.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	29.5¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$2.4k	81.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?	Politics	No	$2.4k	88.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.3k	60.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$2.0k	79.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Other	No	$2.0k	98.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.9k	60.9¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	No	$1.8k	80.2¢
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	3.6¢
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	3.6¢
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	3.6¢
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	3.6¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	2.0¢
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	3.6¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	2.0¢
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	2.0¢

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$26.0k @ 30.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$16.2k @ 82.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$10.5k @ 68.6¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$6.7k @ 59.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$6.0k @ 68.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$5.4k @ 97.8¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy
Yes$5.3k @ 49.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$4.7k @ 29.0¢
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$3.9k @ 50.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$3.8k @ 79.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$3.0k @ 96.7¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$2.9k @ 12.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?Other
No$2.8k @ 97.7¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics
No$2.7k @ 87.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 29.5¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$2.4k @ 81.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Politics
No$2.4k @ 88.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics
Yes$2.3k @ 60.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$2.0k @ 79.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Other
No$2.0k @ 98.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
No$1.9k @ 60.9¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Sports
No$1.8k @ 80.2¢
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 3.6¢
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 3.6¢
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 3.6¢
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 3.6¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 2.0¢
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 3.6¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 2.0¢
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 2.0¢