0x5a1c…49c1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5a1c1697c0d1756616faa712416e9d459e0f49c1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.4pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

49% @ 40.6¢

Brier

0.144

Resolved

995

Avg size

$66

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (20/46)	+9%	46
Politics	31% (4/13)	-25%	13
Geopolitics	50% (3/6)	+30%	6
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Sports	100% (1/1)	+47%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other46 bets
Hit rate
43% (20/46)
ROI
+9%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
ROI
-25%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+30%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+47%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 28/70

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$5	45.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$390	39.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$77	60.8¢	Lost
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$3	1.2¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$3	68.2¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$357	68.5¢	Lost
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	$48	63.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$256	25.0¢	Lost
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$5	2.3¢	Lost
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?	No	$24	89.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$33	4.3¢	Lost
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	$24	88.2¢	Won
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?	No	$2	59.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$26.6k	64.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$3.8k	33.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	$2.7k	81.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	$435	9.8¢	Lost
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?	No	$120	67.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	$136	4.5¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$6.2k	65.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$2.1k	13.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	$105	1.9¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$783	76.0¢	Won
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$8.1k	25.9¢	Lost
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	$38	3.7¢	Lost
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$55	5.5¢	Lost
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?	No	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	$17	86.7¢	Won
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$89	6.3¢	Lost
Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	$611	73.2¢	Won
Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	$214	19.2¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	$745	47.1¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$1.6k	63.3¢	Won
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$510	51.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	$487	48.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$9	65.7¢	Lost
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	$276	71.6¢	Lost
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Won
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	$737	88.9¢	Won
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	5.1¢	Lost
Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	$15	2.5¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$521	80.0¢	Lost
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	$8	79.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$300	59.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$4.1k	47.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$733	46.7¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$14	55.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$12	49.0¢	Won
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	No	$14	75.0¢	Won

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$5 @ 45.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Won
No$390 @ 39.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$77 @ 60.8¢
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$3 @ 68.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$357 @ 68.5¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?Lost
Yes$48 @ 63.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?Lost
Yes$256 @ 25.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.3¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?Won
No$24 @ 89.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Lost
Yes$33 @ 4.3¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$24 @ 88.2¢
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?Won
No$2 @ 59.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$26.6k @ 64.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$3.8k @ 33.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Won
No$2.7k @ 81.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Lost
Yes$435 @ 9.8¢
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?Lost
No$120 @ 67.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Lost
No$136 @ 4.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$6.2k @ 65.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 13.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Lost
Yes$105 @ 1.9¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$783 @ 76.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$8.1k @ 25.9¢
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?Lost
Yes$38 @ 3.7¢
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$55 @ 5.5¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?Lost
No$2 @ 33.0¢
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$17 @ 86.7¢
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$89 @ 6.3¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?Won
No$611 @ 73.2¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?Lost
Yes$214 @ 19.2¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?Lost
No$745 @ 47.1¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 63.3¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$510 @ 51.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?Won
No$487 @ 48.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
Yes$9 @ 65.7¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?Lost
No$276 @ 71.6¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$737 @ 88.9¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.1¢
Kash Patel out by May 31?Lost
Yes$15 @ 2.5¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?Lost
Yes$521 @ 80.0¢
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Lost
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$300 @ 59.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$4.1k @ 47.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
Yes$733 @ 46.7¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
No$14 @ 55.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?Won
Yes$12 @ 49.0¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?Won
No$14 @ 75.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$2.4k	85.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$205	54.4¢
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$2	23.5¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$2	32.4¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$2.4k @ 85.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$205 @ 54.4¢
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 23.5¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$2 @ 32.4¢