0x57c7…04a0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x57c767ddfe1164aed4573e62ad6bca38004104a0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.6pp

ROI

+53%

Win rate

39% @ 31.6¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

373

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (24/69)	+93%	69
Politics	44% (19/43)	-2%	43
Geopolitics	44% (4/9)	-2%	9
Sports	40% (2/5)	+274%	5
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+78%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+488%	1
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other69 bets
Hit rate
35% (24/69)
ROI
+93%
Politics43 bets
Hit rate
44% (19/43)
ROI
-2%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-2%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+274%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+78%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+488%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 51/130

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Yes	$16	17.0¢	Won
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	81.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$39	25.1¢	Lost
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?	No	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$6	37.4¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$20	22.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	39.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$8	87.0¢	Won
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	$4	70.0¢	Lost
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	$47	66.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$46	41.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$50	19.3¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$36	84.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$33	8.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$81	22.5¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$122	27.1¢	Lost
Will Leavitt say "President Xi" during the next White House press briefing?	No	$3	44.0¢	Lost
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$8	76.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$20	19.0¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in April?	No	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$4	55.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Trump renames AI by October 31?	No	$13	1.0¢	Lost
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$97	59.6¢	Won
Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	$40	9.9¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	Yes	$8	19.0¢	Lost
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	$13	10.2¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$25	18.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$21	22.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$64	57.5¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$42	44.6¢	Lost
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$21	18.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?	No	$2	74.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	51.2¢	Won
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$35	53.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$111	51.0¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	Yes	$45	40.5¢	Won
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$8	66.0¢	Won
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$4	4.2¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$20	59.9¢	Won

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?Won
Yes$16 @ 17.0¢
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$39 @ 25.1¢
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?Lost
No$2 @ 1.3¢
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 37.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 22.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$19 @ 39.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$8 @ 87.0¢
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
Yes$47 @ 66.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$46 @ 41.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 19.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$36 @ 84.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$33 @ 8.0¢
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$81 @ 22.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$122 @ 27.1¢
Will Leavitt say "President Xi" during the next White House press briefing?Lost
No$3 @ 44.0¢
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Won
No$8 @ 76.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in April?Lost
No$2 @ 0.5¢
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
Yes$4 @ 55.0¢
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Trump renames AI by October 31?Lost
No$13 @ 1.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
No$97 @ 59.6¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Lost
No$40 @ 9.9¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Lost
Yes$8 @ 19.0¢
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Lost
No$13 @ 10.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$25 @ 18.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$21 @ 22.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$64 @ 57.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$42 @ 44.6¢
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$21 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$2 @ 74.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$11 @ 51.2¢
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Won
Yes$35 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$111 @ 51.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Won
Yes$45 @ 40.5¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 66.0¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
No$20 @ 59.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$155	27.9¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$128	65.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$43	22.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$20	43.0¢
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Tech	Yes	$16	17.0¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$16	68.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$12	93.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$6	6.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$5	37.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$155 @ 27.9¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$128 @ 65.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics
Yes$43 @ 22.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$20 @ 43.0¢
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?Tech
Yes$16 @ 17.0¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Politics
Yes$16 @ 68.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$12 @ 93.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$5 @ 37.0¢