0x56e7…7c0b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x56e777a0ac58b25be414f8f29866e99ad5737c0b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.7pp

ROI

+38%

Win rate

68% @ 53.0¢

Brier

0.176

Resolved

272

Avg size

$289

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	67% (8/12)	+42%	12
Sports	67% (4/6)	-33%	6
Other	33% (1/3)	-22%	3
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-94%	3

Politics12 bets
Hit rate
67% (8/12)
ROI
+42%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
-33%
Other3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-22%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-94%

Track record

58% hit · 14/24

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$838	89.4¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$496	85.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$73	85.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$1.3k	4.7¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sean OMalley	$85	85.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$2.2k	53.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$813	82.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	$406	18.0¢	Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$787	52.5¢	Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5.7k	77.1¢	Won
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Stefano Napolitano	Daniel Rincon	$16	82.0¢	Won
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$135	26.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$28.7k	65.0¢	Won
Royan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thomas Faurel	Gerard Campana Lee	$78	78.0¢	Won
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia Ristic	Mia Ristic	$36	71.0¢	Lost
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$12.4k	60.2¢	Won
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.6k	50.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$10.4k	77.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	$4.2k	29.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2	BIG	$41	51.5¢	Lost
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?	No	$311	68.8¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ilia Topuria	$142	71.0¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$7.0k	42.5¢	Won
ITF Tauste: Belle Thompson vs Celia Anson Sanchez	Belle Thompson	$39	86.6¢	Won

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$838 @ 89.4¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$496 @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$73 @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 4.7¢
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Sean OMalley$85 @ 85.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$2.2k @ 53.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$813 @ 82.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Lost
Yes$406 @ 18.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$787 @ 52.5¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$5.7k @ 77.1¢
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Stefano NapolitanoWon
Daniel Rincon$16 @ 82.0¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
Yes$135 @ 26.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$28.7k @ 65.0¢
Royan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thomas FaurelWon
Gerard Campana Lee$78 @ 78.0¢
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia RisticLost
Mia Ristic$36 @ 71.0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Won
No$12.4k @ 60.2¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 50.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$10.4k @ 77.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Lost
Yes$4.2k @ 29.6¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Lost
BIG$41 @ 51.5¢
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Lost
No$311 @ 68.8¢
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Ilia Topuria$142 @ 71.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Won
No$7.0k @ 42.5¢
ITF Tauste: Belle Thompson vs Celia Anson SanchezWon
Belle Thompson$39 @ 86.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	—	Yes	$18.4k	54.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$9.4k	97.9¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$6.4k	91.9¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	—	No	$1.9k	33.4¢
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$1.5k	90.8¢
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	—	No	$635	84.3¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Politics	No	$448	60.0¢
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$318	2.5¢

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?—
Yes$18.4k @ 54.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$9.4k @ 97.9¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$6.4k @ 91.9¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?—
No$1.9k @ 33.4¢
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?—
No$1.5k @ 90.8¢
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?—
No$635 @ 84.3¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics
No$448 @ 60.0¢
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$318 @ 2.5¢