0x56c2…6219

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x56c260b1d44d3a5c05fd01f12b956231e6816219
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.8pp

ROI

+2460%

Win rate

3% @ 0.1¢

Brier

0.029

Resolved

3223

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	5% (13/241)	+7773%	241
Sports	0% (0/234)	-100%	234
Politics	0% (1/230)	+546%	230
Crypto	0% (0/121)	-100%	121
Geopolitics	0% (0/33)	-100%	33
Tech	0% (0/29)	-100%	29
Economy	0% (0/18)	-100%	18
Culture	0% (0/16)	-100%	16
Science	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Business	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other241 bets
Hit rate
5% (13/241)
ROI
+7773%
Sports234 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/234)
ROI
-100%
Politics230 bets
Hit rate
0% (1/230)
ROI
+546%
Crypto121 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/121)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics33 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/33)
ROI
-100%
Tech29 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/29)
ROI
-100%
Economy18 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/18)
ROI
-100%
Culture16 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/16)
ROI
-100%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Business3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

2% hit · 14/928

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 10?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	No	$4	0.1¢	Won
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$9	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	No	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 10?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?Won
No$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?Lost
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢

Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢