0x5686…690a

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other81 bets

  Hit rate

  49% (40/81)

  ROI

  +4%

• Politics15 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (10/15)

  ROI

  -2%

• Sports10 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (8/10)

  ROI

  +21%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  -11%

• Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Won
  No$7 @ 74.0¢
• Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
  No$31 @ 89.6¢
• Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionWon
  No$1 @ 27.0¢
• Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Won
  No$26 @ 75.4¢
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
  No$22 @ 63.0¢
• Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Lost
  No$31 @ 78.7¢
• Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Lost
  No$4 @ 81.4¢
• Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Won
  No$10 @ 29.6¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$0 @ 2.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?Lost
  No$7 @ 46.3¢
• Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$4 @ 89.3¢
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$21 @ 75.9¢
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Won
  No$3 @ 53.0¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?Won
  No$4 @ 88.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?Won
  No$7 @ 74.9¢
• Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$9 @ 21.4¢
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$9 @ 66.2¢
• Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Lost
  No$3 @ 59.0¢
• Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$4 @ 88.7¢
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Won
  No$3 @ 68.0¢
• Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Won
  No$6 @ 34.3¢
• Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$4 @ 89.0¢
• Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$4 @ 76.0¢
• Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Won
  No$17 @ 83.5¢
• Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Won
  No$1 @ 25.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?Won
  No$5 @ 53.6¢
• Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$2 @ 42.8¢
• Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$4 @ 84.0¢
• Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$3 @ 53.0¢
• Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Won
  No$35 @ 87.9¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$3 @ 68.0¢
• Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?Won
  No$1 @ 13.0¢
• Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
  No$29 @ 82.5¢
• Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Won
  No$17 @ 86.7¢
• Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
  No$4 @ 85.0¢
• Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Won
  No$13 @ 32.9¢
• Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$6 @ 23.5¢
• Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?Lost
  No$4 @ 87.0¢
• No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$3 @ 16.5¢
• Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$4 @ 71.0¢
• Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Lost
  No$4 @ 75.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Won
  No$6 @ 64.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?Lost
  Yes$28 @ 23.1¢
• Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?Lost
  No$3 @ 56.0¢
• Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Won
  No$16 @ 80.4¢
• Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Won
  No$31 @ 78.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?Lost
  No$4 @ 44.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?Lost
  No$2 @ 40.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?Won
  Yes$0 @ 9.1¢

Current positions

• Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$28 @ 50.0¢
• Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 50.0¢
• Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 50.0¢
• Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 50.0¢
• Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 50.0¢
• Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 50.0¢
• Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
• Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
• Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
• Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
• Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
• Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
  Yes$2 @ 50.0¢
• Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
  Yes$2 @ 50.0¢
• Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Sports
  No$2 @ 83.8¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
  No$1 @ 67.5¢