← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 4, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

2.5¢

No

97.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Contested

No 59%Yes 41%

5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xfe01…87d3	No	$5	79.2¢	0.9×	+26%	37%	Sharp
0xf51b…ca1b	Yes	$3	2.6¢	1.9×	+36%	30%	Sharp
0x802d…d59a	Yes	$0	3.1¢	0.0×	+60%	25%	Sharp
0x04dc…d572	Yes	$0	1.3¢	0.1×	+31%	32%	Sharp
0x9a94…d5f9	Yes	$0	0.1¢	2.5×	+1056%	1%	Sharp

0xfe01…87d3Sharp

No$5 @ 79.2¢

Conv: 0.9×
ROI: +26%
Win%: 37%

0xf51b…ca1bSharp

Yes$3 @ 2.6¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +36%
Win%: 30%

0x802d…d59aSharp

Yes$0 @ 3.1¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +60%
Win%: 25%

0x04dc…d572Sharp

Yes$0 @ 1.3¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +31%
Win%: 32%

0x9a94…d5f9Sharp

Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Conv: 2.5×
ROI: +1056%
Win%: 1%