0x5685…62e2

Specialization by sphere

• Other85 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (68/85)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  96% (23/24)

  ROI

  +21%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +17%

• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 82.3¢
• Colts vs. ChiefsLost
  Colts$20 @ 53.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$9.5k @ 86.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$73 @ 74.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$2.7k @ 83.4¢
• Will Trump visit Russia before July?Won
  No$570 @ 71.3¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$8.2k @ 87.9¢
• Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Lost
  No$1.6k @ 42.0¢
• Kurds declare independence from Iran?Won
  No$4.6k @ 84.4¢
• Eagles vs. BillsWon
  Eagles$13 @ 81.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
  No$3.7k @ 85.0¢
• Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  Yes$24 @ 79.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$7.1k @ 77.2¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Won
  No$15.0k @ 77.8¢
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
  No$10.6k @ 76.4¢
• Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$566 @ 82.0¢
• Iran military response by Sunday?Won
  No$100 @ 85.0¢
• U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?Won
  No$2.0k @ 83.0¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$1.5k @ 80.7¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Won
  No$1.3k @ 88.5¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$8 @ 87.7¢
• Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Won
  No$550 @ 71.7¢
• Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel Won
  Crawford$1.7k @ 85.3¢
• Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Lost
  No$571 @ 62.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 86.8¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Won
  No$8.7k @ 78.5¢
• Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$41 @ 59.9¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Won
  No$9.1k @ 86.8¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$3.8k @ 71.5¢
• Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 80.0¢
• Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Won
  Yes$4.8k @ 81.2¢
• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$25 @ 61.7¢
• Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?Won
  No$2.0k @ 87.6¢
• Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?Won
  No$1000 @ 89.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Won
  No$10.9k @ 79.0¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$5.9k @ 78.4¢
• US military action against Iran before August?Lost
  No$1.8k @ 56.7¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Won
  No$996 @ 85.8¢
• Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Won
  No$206 @ 89.3¢
• Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Won
  No$300 @ 77.6¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
  No$40 @ 87.8¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$9.5k @ 87.7¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?Won
  No$1.4k @ 70.9¢
• US military action against Iran before July?Lost
  No$5.4k @ 69.9¢
• Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?Won
  No$2.0k @ 89.0¢
• Trump orders U.S. prisoners to El Salvador before April?Won
  No$1000 @ 86.2¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?Won
  No$319 @ 78.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$2.0k @ 79.7¢
• U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?Won
  No$700 @ 87.1¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Won
  No$6.2k @ 87.4¢

Current positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$16.5k @ 91.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$13.8k @ 90.5¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$10.0k @ 67.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10.0k @ 91.3¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$7.6k @ 80.6¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
  Yes$6.9k @ 83.5¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$6.0k @ 80.0¢
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
  No$4.2k @ 77.3¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 86.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 87.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 48.9¢
• Utah vs. Iowa StateSports
  Utah$706 @ 98.2¢
• Chiefs vs. DolphinsSports
  Chiefs$631 @ 86.0¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$502 @ 94.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$500 @ 85.7¢
• Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics
  No$500 @ 69.4¢
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$200 @ 94.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$126 @ 91.1¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$105 @ 87.1¢
• Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin PeaySports
  Austin Peay$20 @ 98.8¢
• Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 85.0¢