0x55e2…0d8f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x55e2698ee0f78046c91668af9bccf4dda6410d8f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.9pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

60% @ 51.7¢

Brier

0.126

Resolved

186

Avg size

$29

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	66% (60/91)	+20%	91
Politics	65% (13/20)	+11%	20
Tech	33% (1/3)	-93%	3
Geopolitics	67% (2/3)	-17%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	-5%	3
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Culture	50% (1/2)	+65%	2

Other91 bets
Hit rate
66% (60/91)
ROI
+20%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
65% (13/20)
ROI
+11%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-93%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-17%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-5%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+65%

Track record

64% hit · 79/124

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	$30	59.0¢	Won
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	$33	82.0¢	Won
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$50	85.0¢	Won
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)	Yes	$1	6.7¢	Lost
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?	No	$87	79.0¢	Won
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?	No	$65	65.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$30	65.0¢	Won
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?	No	$4	3.7¢	Lost
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$3	6.1¢	Lost
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	$14	28.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	$77	77.0¢	Won
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	$14	69.0¢	Won
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$7	33.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?	No	$26	86.0¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$76	76.1¢	Won
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	54.6¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$46	46.0¢	Lost
Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?	Under	$33	54.3¢	Lost
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	$51	72.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$56	86.0¢	Won
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?	Yes	$63	63.0¢	Won
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	$8	84.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$32	79.0¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	$26	87.0¢	Won
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?	Yes	$20	51.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$30	81.7¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$65	81.0¢	Won
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?	Yes	$97	81.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$71	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$43	71.0¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$100	79.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$40	63.0¢	Lost
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	Yes	$88	88.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	150k	$11	17.7¢	Lost
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	$249	64.1¢	Won
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	No	$111	85.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$40	78.6¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$39	77.8¢	Won
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?	Yes	$18	18.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	$7	74.0¢	Won
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?	No	$10	40.7¢	Lost
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	$30	71.0¢	Won
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?	No	$2	12.0¢	Lost
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?	Yes	$34	80.0¢	Won
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	$27	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$10	29.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$46	28.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$5	5.9¢	Lost

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Won
Yes$30 @ 59.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
No$33 @ 82.0¢
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 85.0¢
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Won
No$87 @ 79.0¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?Won
No$65 @ 65.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$30 @ 65.0¢
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 3.7¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.1¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Lost
Yes$14 @ 28.6¢
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?Won
70k$77 @ 77.0¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Won
No$14 @ 69.0¢
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
No$7 @ 33.0¢
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?Won
No$26 @ 86.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$76 @ 76.1¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 54.6¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
Yes$46 @ 46.0¢
Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?Lost
Under$33 @ 54.3¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
Yes$51 @ 72.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$56 @ 86.0¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?Won
Yes$63 @ 63.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 84.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$32 @ 79.0¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
No$26 @ 87.0¢
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Lost
Yes$20 @ 51.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$30 @ 81.7¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$65 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Won
Yes$97 @ 81.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$71 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Won
Yes$43 @ 71.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$100 @ 79.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$40 @ 63.0¢
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Won
Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?Lost
150k$11 @ 17.7¢
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Won
No$249 @ 64.1¢
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Won
No$111 @ 85.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$40 @ 78.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
Yes$39 @ 77.8¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?Lost
Yes$18 @ 18.2¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 74.0¢
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Lost
No$10 @ 40.7¢
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Won
Yes$30 @ 71.0¢
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Lost
No$2 @ 12.0¢
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Won
Yes$34 @ 80.0¢
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Won
No$27 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$46 @ 28.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 5.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$119	70.3¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$100	92.9¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Culture	No	$100	85.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$58	82.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$50	52.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Politics	No	$44	88.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$40	86.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Tech	No	$35	35.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Politics	No	$34	84.7¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$30	67.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$27	67.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$23	77.0¢
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Crypto	No	$22	56.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Politics	No	$16	80.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$11	64.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$9	92.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$9	86.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$119 @ 70.3¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$100 @ 92.9¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture
No$100 @ 85.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$58 @ 82.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$50 @ 52.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$40 @ 86.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Tech
No$35 @ 35.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics
No$34 @ 84.7¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$30 @ 67.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
No$27 @ 67.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
No$23 @ 77.0¢
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?Crypto
No$22 @ 56.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
No$16 @ 80.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$11 @ 64.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$9 @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$9 @ 86.0¢