← Smart money
0x55cc…8c91
ProfitableEdge
-8.8pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
25% @ 33.8¢
Brier
0.206
Resolved
408
Avg size
$8
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 36% (10/28) | -36% | 28 |
| Politics | 40% (2/5) | +157% | 5 |
| Other | 33% (1/3) | -62% | 3 |
| Crypto | 33% (1/3) | -77% | 3 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +45% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports28 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (10/28)
- ROI
- -36%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +157%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -62%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -77%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +45%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 15/41- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$153 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- No$5 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 15.8¢
- No$53 @ 49.9¢
- Yes$238 @ 53.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 61.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- No$5 @ 52.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
- No$10 @ 88.8¢
- No$20 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 16.1¢
- No$5 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 76.0¢
- No$25 @ 98.2¢
- Yes$43 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- No$5 @ 64.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 30.2¢
- No$34 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 64.3¢
- Yes$22 @ 1.2¢
- No$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 0.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$53 @ 45.9¢
- Yes$49 @ 42.1¢
- Yes$44 @ 64.8¢
- Yes$37 @ 81.1¢
- Yes$32 @ 21.2¢
- Yes$29 @ 36.1¢
- Yes$27 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$19 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 22.4¢
- No$13 @ 63.2¢
- No$10 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 18.6¢
- No$6 @ 98.9¢
- Anthropic$5 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 74.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$5 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
- No$4 @ 81.3¢