0x555c…ee28

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x555c311dd92f6c550220780bd327f094cdfeee28
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.1pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

43% @ 39.4¢

Brier

0.173

Resolved

3913

Avg size

$31

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (585/1260)	+3%	1260
Sports	44% (33/75)	+24%	75
Politics	32% (8/25)	-4%	25
Geopolitics	80% (4/5)	+60%	5
Culture	100% (3/3)	+45%	3
Crypto	33% (1/3)	-10%	3
Science	100% (2/2)	+38%	2
Economy	100% (2/2)	+75%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+16%	1

Other1260 bets
Hit rate
46% (585/1260)
ROI
+3%
Sports75 bets
Hit rate
44% (33/75)
ROI
+24%
Politics25 bets
Hit rate
32% (8/25)
ROI
-4%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+60%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+45%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-10%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+38%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+75%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+16%

Track record

46% hit · 639/1376

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?	Yes	$165	55.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$6	5.0¢	Lost
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?	No	$85	85.0¢	Won
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-18?	No	$110	55.0¢	Lost
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?	Yes	$49	36.0¢	Lost
Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?	Yes	$70	50.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7	1.3¢	Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$158	73.2¢	Won
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?	No	$45	60.0¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$89	88.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	Yes	$89	39.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$3	2.5¢	Lost
Will Lens place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	$4	74.0¢	Won
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 7?	Yes	$11	7.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?	Yes	$138	69.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	$4	1.4¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during her North Carolina rally?	Yes	$50	41.0¢	Lost
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-02-12?	No	$36	52.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?	Yes	$26	22.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?	No	$24	24.0¢	Won
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	$90	45.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?	Yes	$77	66.0¢	Won
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?	Yes	$355	50.7¢	Lost
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	Yes	$67	56.0¢	Won
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?	Yes	$40	20.0¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$20	3.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	Yes	$35	15.8¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "GM" or "General Motors" during Michigan rally on October 25?	No	$47	51.0¢	Won
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$5	1.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Won
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$76	76.0¢	Won
Syria strikes Israel by Friday?	No	$71	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?	Yes	$52	80.0¢	Won
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?	Yes	$48	60.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?	Yes	$62	55.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	$9	0.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Slave" or "Slavery" during the Black History Month reception?	Yes	$190	72.4¢	Lost
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?	No	$45	60.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?	Yes	$120	60.0¢	Lost
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	$13	3.3¢	Lost

Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Lost
Yes$165 @ 55.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.0¢
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?Won
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-18?Lost
No$110 @ 55.0¢
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Lost
Yes$49 @ 36.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Won
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?Lost
Yes$70 @ 50.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.3¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
No$158 @ 73.2¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?Won
No$45 @ 60.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$89 @ 88.9¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Lost
Yes$89 @ 39.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.5¢
Will Lens place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?Won
Yes$4 @ 74.0¢
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 7?Lost
Yes$11 @ 7.0¢
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?Won
Yes$138 @ 69.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.4¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during her North Carolina rally?Lost
Yes$50 @ 41.0¢
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-02-12?Lost
No$36 @ 52.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?Won
Yes$26 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?Won
No$24 @ 24.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Lost
No$90 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Lost
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Won
Yes$77 @ 66.0¢
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Lost
Yes$355 @ 50.7¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Won
Yes$67 @ 56.0¢
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?Won
Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$20 @ 3.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Lost
Yes$35 @ 15.8¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?Won
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "GM" or "General Motors" during Michigan rally on October 25?Won
No$47 @ 51.0¢
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?Won
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
No$76 @ 76.0¢
Syria strikes Israel by Friday?Won
No$71 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Won
Yes$52 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Won
Yes$48 @ 60.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?Lost
Yes$62 @ 55.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.9¢
Will Trump say "Slave" or "Slavery" during the Black History Month reception?Lost
Yes$190 @ 72.4¢
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?Lost
No$45 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?Lost
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Lost
Yes$13 @ 3.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$760	19.0¢
Will Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Marseille) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Sports	No	$516	98.0¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$473	94.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$408	51.0¢
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Sports	Yes	$408	51.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	—	No	$396	99.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$386	96.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$383	95.7¢
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$372	93.0¢
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Sports	Yes	$350	70.0¢
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	Politics	No	$350	87.5¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Politics	No	$340	85.0¢
Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Sports	Yes	$330	33.0¢
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Politics	No	$285	95.1¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	No	$279	93.1¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$273	91.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$227	35.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	No	$210	70.0¢
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$210	77.4¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$204	51.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	—	No	$198	99.0¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?	Politics	No	$188	94.0¢
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?	Culture	No	$184	92.0¢
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	Politics	No	$178	89.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$178	89.0¢
Will Daniil Medvedev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	—	Yes	$172	86.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$165	17.4¢
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	Science	Yes	$151	79.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$150	60.0¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Politics	Yes	$150	45.0¢

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$760 @ 19.0¢
Will Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Marseille) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Sports
No$516 @ 98.0¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$473 @ 94.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$408 @ 51.0¢
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Sports
Yes$408 @ 51.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?—
No$396 @ 99.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$386 @ 96.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$383 @ 95.7¢
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$372 @ 93.0¢
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Sports
Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Politics
No$350 @ 87.5¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
No$340 @ 85.0¢
Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Sports
Yes$330 @ 33.0¢
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics
No$285 @ 95.1¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
No$279 @ 93.1¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$273 @ 91.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$227 @ 35.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
No$210 @ 70.0¢
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$210 @ 77.4¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
Yes$204 @ 51.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?—
No$198 @ 99.0¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics
No$188 @ 94.0¢
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?Culture
No$184 @ 92.0¢
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Sports
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Daniil Medvedev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings—
Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$165 @ 17.4¢
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Science
Yes$151 @ 79.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$150 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics
Yes$150 @ 45.0¢