0x5494…7ead

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics31 bets

  Hit rate

  84% (26/31)

  ROI

  +19%

• Other27 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (16/27)

  ROI

  +37%

• Crypto7 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (7/7)

  ROI

  +32%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +8%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (4/4)

  ROI

  +36%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +69%

• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
  Yes$34 @ 49.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$36 @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$33 @ 76.2¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
  No$17 @ 78.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Lost
  No$15 @ 66.7¢
• Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
  No$10 @ 59.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 87.5¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?Won
  Yes$12 @ 81.9¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
  No$36 @ 85.4¢
• Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Lost
  Suns$3 @ 24.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
  No$17 @ 81.0¢
• Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 15.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$44 @ 79.7¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$31 @ 80.3¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$97 @ 73.1¢
• Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
  No$10 @ 87.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Lost
  No$15 @ 70.7¢
• Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
  No$8 @ 84.4¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$10 @ 89.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
  No$22 @ 71.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 77.7¢
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Won
  No$11 @ 88.2¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Won
  No$24 @ 76.9¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Won
  No$18 @ 78.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$74 @ 69.1¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
  No$10 @ 74.0¢
• Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
  No$16 @ 84.8¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Lost
  No$8 @ 60.0¢
• Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
  No$10 @ 83.9¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$15 @ 76.5¢
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
  No$10 @ 67.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
  No$17 @ 81.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 70.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$11 @ 72.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 24.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
  No$19 @ 88.9¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 68.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$29 @ 72.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$16 @ 76.6¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 87.3¢
• Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Won
  No$10 @ 86.8¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
  No$10 @ 75.0¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Won
  No$20 @ 63.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Won
  No$19 @ 87.5¢
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 89.0¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Won
  No$18 @ 72.0¢

Current positions

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$27 @ 79.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$20 @ 82.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$18 @ 70.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$10 @ 74.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
  No$10 @ 62.0¢