← Smart money
0x53fa…78af
SharpEdge
+20.3pp
ROI
+35%
Win rate
85% @ 64.9¢
Brier
0.152
Resolved
61
Avg size
$6
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 67% (10/15) | +38% | 15 |
| Politics | 87% (13/15) | +26% | 15 |
| Other | 82% (9/11) | +31% | 11 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +20% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +49% | 1 |
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (10/15)
- ROI
- +38%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 87% (13/15)
- ROI
- +26%
- Other11 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (9/11)
- ROI
- +31%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +20%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +49%
Track record
80% hit · 35/44- Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 96.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 43.6¢
- Yes$26 @ 70.6¢
- Yes$8 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 50.3¢
- Yes$35 @ 74.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 28.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 73.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 74.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 89.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 71.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 45.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 73.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 60.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 78.0¢
- No$5 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 72.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 66.0¢
- Khamzat Chimaev$2 @ 0.1¢
- Karmine Corp$7 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $22 | 73.5¢ |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 76.0¢ |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 67.9¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $8 | 53.1¢ |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $8 | 53.0¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $8 | 62.0¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 56.6¢ |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $2 | 11.0¢ |
- Yes$22 @ 73.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 67.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 53.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 56.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 11.0¢