← Smart money
0x526d…fb92
ProfitableEdge
+46.0pp
ROI
+128%
Win rate
88% @ 41.9¢
Brier
0.436
Resolved
124
Avg size
$27
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 82% (9/11) | +75% | 11 |
| Other | 80% (4/5) | +63% | 5 |
| Sports | 100% (4/4) | +298% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +10% | 1 |
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (9/11)
- ROI
- +75%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +63%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +298%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +10%
Track record
86% hit · 19/22- No$99 @ 98.8¢
- Yes$812 @ 92.8¢
- No$61 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$81 @ 81.0¢
- Spain$41 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$304 @ 72.2¢
- Yes$736 @ 40.3¢
- Yes$202 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$277 @ 65.6¢
- Yes$205 @ 10.9¢
- Croatia$43 @ 27.8¢
- Yes$109 @ 88.6¢
- Yes$33 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$176 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 78.8¢
- Yes$202 @ 72.2¢
- Yes$201 @ 89.0¢
- No$172 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$364 @ 26.6¢
- Yes$43 @ 71.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | No | $303 | 60.5¢ |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $300 | 93.0¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $300 | 79.0¢ |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $200 | 20.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | Politics | Yes | $94 | 78.3¢ |
| Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | Politics | No | $86 | 92.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Politics | No | $20 | 46.0¢ |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $20 | 2.8¢ |
- No$303 @ 60.5¢
- No$300 @ 93.0¢
- No$300 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$94 @ 78.3¢
- Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$86 @ 92.0¢
- No$20 @ 46.0¢
- No$20 @ 2.8¢