← Smart money
0x514e…4060
ProfitableEdge
+48.8pp
ROI
+156%
Win rate
74% @ 24.7¢
Brier
0.508
Resolved
117
Avg size
$24
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 67% (2/3) | +318% | 3 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +9% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +318%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +9%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 3/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pakistan win? | Yes | $100 | 31.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $460 | 38.4¢ | Lost |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | No | $300 | 29.7¢ | Won |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $514 | 7.2¢ | Lost |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $460 | 46.0¢ | Won |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | No | $1.1k | 20.9¢ | Won |
- Yes$100 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$460 @ 38.4¢
- No$300 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$514 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$460 @ 46.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 20.9¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | Politics | Yes | $900 | 85.2¢ |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $499 | 7.2¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $460 | 38.4¢ |
| Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? | Politics | No | $300 | 64.7¢ |
| Will Pakistan win? | — | Yes | $100 | 31.0¢ |
| Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 15.3¢ |
- Yes$900 @ 85.2¢
- Yes$499 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$460 @ 38.4¢
- Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNo$300 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$100 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 15.3¢