← Smart money
0x5139…9402
SharpEdge
+2.9pp
ROI
+46%
Win rate
12% @ 9.0¢
Brier
0.115
Resolved
572
Avg size
$43
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 12% (6/52) | -32% | 52 |
| Other | 5% (1/20) | +893% | 20 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/11) | -100% | 11 |
| Sports | 20% (2/10) | +26% | 10 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics52 bets
- Hit rate
- 12% (6/52)
- ROI
- -32%
- Other20 bets
- Hit rate
- 5% (1/20)
- ROI
- +893%
- Geopolitics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/11)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports10 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (2/10)
- ROI
- +26%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
10% hit · 9/94- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$40 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$65 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 3.4¢
- Spurs vs. KnicksLostKnicks$23 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 11.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$173 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$160 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$902 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$21 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$375 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$426 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.7¢
- No$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$246 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$400 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$571 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$92 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$851 @ 6.4¢
- No$115 @ 20.5¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 6.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$85 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$362 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$650 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$535 @ 42.0¢
- No$82 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$138 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$353 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 35.5¢
- No$111 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$19 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$626 @ 64.6¢
- Yes$112 @ 1.7¢
- No$218 @ 8.0¢
- Ghana$11 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$192 @ 59.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $342 | 3.6¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $40 | 1.1¢ |
- Yes$342 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$40 @ 1.1¢