← Smart money
0x5139…9402
SharpEdge
+11.1pp
ROI
+170%
Win rate
18% @ 6.6¢
Brier
0.177
Resolved
299
Avg size
$36
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 4% (1/27) | -69% | 27 |
| Other | 17% (1/6) | +1393% | 6 |
| Sports | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics27 bets
- Hit rate
- 4% (1/27)
- ROI
- -69%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- +1393%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
5% hit · 2/40- Yes$40 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$65 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 11.5¢
- Yes$160 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$375 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$426 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.7¢
- No$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$571 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$92 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$851 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 6.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$85 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$362 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$650 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$353 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 35.5¢
- Yes$19 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$626 @ 64.6¢
- Yes$112 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$192 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$358 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$343 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$352 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$21 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$386 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$85 @ 24.0¢
- No$11 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 7.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1.4k | 6.1¢ |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1.0k | 20.1¢ |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $602 | 6.7¢ |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $554 | 10.1¢ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $174 | 22.8¢ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $155 | 14.6¢ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $128 | 2.0¢ |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $35 | 7.0¢ |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $20 | 0.4¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Geopolitics | Yes | $9 | 0.6¢ |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ |
- Yes$1.4k @ 6.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 20.1¢
- Yes$602 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$554 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$174 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$155 @ 14.6¢
- Yes$128 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢